Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff

Wales

3 - 1

Kazakhstan

Our Tip

Match Events

James D.

Assist: Davies B.

32'

Tagybergen A.

(Penalty)

42'

Samorodov M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Wales and Kazakhstan finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wales.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Wales

30%

Draws

41%

Kazakhstan

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kazakhstan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Wales come out ahead of Kazakhstan on wins alone.
Win probability leans Wales's way, sitting at 70%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Wales Clean Sheet 68%

Kazakhstan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Wales	Kazakhstan
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	12	7
Draws	10	4
Losses	8	18
Goals Scored	1.6	0.93
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.86
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2025 World Championship

Kazakhstan vs Wales

0:1

Mar 22, 2025 World Championship

Wales vs Kazakhstan

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wales Compare

Top Goalscorer James D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Davies B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.11

Avg xA / game 0.72

Kazakhstan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales 77 / 100

Kazakhstan 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Wales Kazakhstan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wales Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wales's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kazakhstan conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Wales went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wales VS Kazakhstan

1.63 Goals Scored 1

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25

63% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Wales

(Home)

06 Jun

Romania

2 : 1

Wales

02 Jun

Wales

1 : 1

Ghana

31 Mar

Wales

1 : 1

Northern Ireland

26 Mar

Wales

1 : 2

Bosnia & Herzegovina

18 Nov

Wales

7 : 1

North Macedonia

Page 1 of 6

Kazakhstan

(Away)

09 Jun

Hungary

3 : 1

Kazakhstan

06 Jun

Armenia

1 : 1

Kazakhstan

31 Mar

Kazakhstan

1 : 0

Comoros

25 Mar

Kazakhstan

2 : 0

Namibia

18 Nov

Faroe Islands

1 : 0

Kazakhstan

Page 1 of 6