Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Cardiff City Stadium

North Macedonia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Wales play North Macedonia in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Wales averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. North Macedonia averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Wales won 2, North Macedonia won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 18, 2025 ended 7:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Wales and 1.44 for North Macedonia. This points to a Wales double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Wales

32%

Draws

30%

North Macedonia

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Wales

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Wales picked up more points recently compared to North Macedonia.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 44%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Wales Clean Sheet 16%

North Macedonia Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Wales	North Macedonia
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	10
Draws	10	11
Losses	8	9
Goals Scored	1.6	1.17
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.27
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 World Championship

Wales vs North Macedonia

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 4 - 2

7:1

Mar 25, 2025 World Championship

North Macedonia vs Wales

Possession: 49% - 60% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Oct 11, 2013 World Championship

Wales vs North Macedonia

Possession: 47% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Sep 6, 2013 World Championship

North Macedonia vs Wales

Possession: 59% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wales Compare

Top Goalscorer Brooks D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Johnson B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

North Macedonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Miovski B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales 37 / 100

North Macedonia 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Wales North Macedonia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Wales or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.7%

2.63

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Wales attacking → ← attacking North Macedonia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wales scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

North Macedonia let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Wales went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

North Macedonia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 41

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0