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Wales W vs Australia W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Nevin C.
46'
Sub
Zimmerman G. In: Estcourt C.
Out: Zimmerman G.
55' Event
Griffiths M.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2025 game between Wales W and Australia W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Australia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Wales W
15%
Draws
35%
Australia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wales W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Australia W come out ahead of Wales W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Wales W a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Wales W Clean Sheet 68%
Australia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wales W Australia W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 19
Draws 8 2
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.87 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Friendly International Women
Wales W vs Australia W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wales W Compare

Top Goalscorer Griffiths M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Australia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nevin C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Foord C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales W 68 / 100
Australia W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wales W Australia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wales W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wales W scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Wales W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Australia W conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Wales W VS Australia W
2.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wales W

(Home)
09 Jun
Wales W
3 : 1
Czech Republic W
05 Jun
Montenegro W
1 : 1
Wales W
18 Apr
Albania W
0 : 1
Wales W
14 Apr
Wales W
4 : 0
Albania W
07 Mar
Wales W
6 : 1
Montenegro W
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Australia W

(Away)
09 Jun
Australia W
3 : 1
Mexico W
06 Jun
Australia W
0 : 1
Mexico W
15 Apr
Kenya W
0 : 2
Australia W
11 Apr
Australia W
5 : 0
Malawi W
21 Mar
Japan W
1 : 0
Australia W
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