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Wales W vs Czech Republic W

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World Cup Women Cardiff City Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wales W play Czech Republic W in the World Cup Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Wales W averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Czech Republic W averaged 1.94 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Wales W won 1, Czech Republic W won 0, and they drew 4. Their last match on Jun 9, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Wales W and 2.56 for Czech Republic W. This points to a Wales W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Wales W
35%
Draws
28%
Czech Republic W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Wales W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Wales W picked up more points recently compared to Czech Republic W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 2.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Wales W Clean Sheet 10%
Czech Republic W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wales W Czech Republic W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.87 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 World Cup Women
Wales W vs Czech Republic W
3:1
Mar 3, 2026 World Cup Women
Czech Republic W vs Wales W
2:2
Apr 7, 2019 Friendly International Women
Wales W vs Czech Republic W
1:1
Apr 4, 2019 Friendly International Women
Wales W vs Czech Republic W
0:0
Mar 3, 2017 International Tournament (Cyprus) Women
Wales W vs Czech Republic W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wales W Compare

Top Goalscorer Woodham L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Evans G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Czech Republic W Compare

Top Goalscorer Khyrova M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales W 35 / 100
Czech Republic W 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wales W Czech Republic W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Wales W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Wales W attacking → ← attacking Czech Republic W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wales W scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Czech Republic W let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Wales W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Czech Republic W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 40
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Wales W642017:514
2Czech Republic W632118:811
3Albania W62139:147
4Montenegro W60156:231
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Switzerland W651018:516
2Turkey W641111:513
3Northern Ireland W620410:96
4Malta W60064:240
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Portugal W650117:415
2Finland W650115:615
3Slovakia W62048:176
4Latvia W60064:170
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Scotland W642024:214
2Belgium W642022:114
3Israel W620410:206
4Luxembourg W60061:340