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Wales W vs Denmark W Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
Wales W Logo

Wales W

1 - 2
FT
Denmark W Logo

Denmark W

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Bruun S.
Assist: Harder P.
34' Event
Holland C.
Assist: Roberts R.
46'
Sub
Veje K. In: Svava S.
Out: Veje K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Denmark W in this UEFA Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Denmark W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Wales W
30%
Draws
32%
Denmark W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Wales W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Denmark W lately — more wins on the board than Wales W.
  • Win probability leans Wales W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Denmark W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Wales W Clean Sheet 13%
Denmark W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wales W Denmark W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.86 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Denmark W vs Wales W
1:0
Apr 4, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Wales W vs Denmark W
1:2
Oct 31, 2023 UEFA Nations League Women
Denmark W vs Wales W
2:1
Sep 26, 2023 UEFA Nations League Women
Wales W vs Denmark W
1:5
Apr 13, 2021 Friendly International Women
Wales W vs Denmark W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wales W Compare

Top Goalscorer Holland C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Denmark W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruun S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vangsgaard A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales W 84 / 100
Denmark W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wales W Denmark W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wales W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wales W scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Wales W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Denmark W conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Wales W VS Denmark W
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Wales W

(Home)
09 Jun
Wales W
3 : 1
Czech Republic W
05 Jun
Montenegro W
1 : 1
Wales W
18 Apr
Albania W
0 : 1
Wales W
14 Apr
Wales W
4 : 0
Albania W
07 Mar
Wales W
6 : 1
Montenegro W
Page 1 of 6

Denmark W

(Away)
09 Jun
Serbia W
1 : 4
Denmark W
05 Jun
Denmark W
2 : 1
Sweden W
18 Apr
Denmark W
0 : 0
Italy W
14 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 2
Denmark W
07 Mar
Italy W
1 : 1
Denmark W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany W 6 5 1 0 26:4 16
2 Netherlands W 6 3 2 1 11:10 11
3 Austria W 6 2 0 4 5:16 6
4 Scotland W 6 0 1 5 3:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 6 6 0 0 14:2 18
2 Norway W 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
3 Iceland W 6 0 4 2 6:9 4
4 Switzerland W 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 6 5 0 1 21:8 15
2 England W 6 3 1 2 16:6 10
3 Belgium W 6 2 0 4 9:16 6
4 Portugal W 6 1 1 4 5:21 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden W 6 3 3 0 13:6 12
2 Italy W 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
3 Denmark W 6 3 0 3 8:13 9
4 Wales W 6 0 2 4 4:10 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)