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Wally Daan vs Mbour - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wally Daan host Mbour in the Ligue 1. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Wally Daan at 1 goals for, 0.83 against; Mbour at 0.65 for, 0.65 against. Head-to-head, Wally Daan have won 1 to Mbour's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 0.88, favoring Wally Daan. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Wally Daan
35%
Draws
30%
Mbour
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Wally Daan lately — more wins on the board than Mbour.
  • Wally Daan are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Wally Daan Clean Sheet 20%
Mbour Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wally Daan Mbour
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 6
Draws 13 18
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1 0.65
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Ligue 1
Mbour vs Wally Daan
1:1
Jan 11, 2026 Ligue 1
Wally Daan vs Mbour
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wally Daan 40 / 100
Mbour 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wally Daan Mbour

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wally Daan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wally Daan found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Wally Daan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mbour's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Wally Daan VS Mbour
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Wally Daan

(Home)
04 Jun
Linguere
1 : 1
Wally Daan
22 May
Wally Daan
1 : 1
US Goree
17 May
Guediawaye
2 : 3
Wally Daan
13 May
Wally Daan
0 : 1
Teungueth
10 May
Mbour
1 : 1
Wally Daan
Page 1 of 6

Mbour

(Away)
04 Jun
US Goree
0 : 0
Mbour
22 May
Mbour
0 : 2
Guediawaye
17 May
Teungueth
2 : 0
Mbour
13 May
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
0 : 2
Mbour
10 May
Mbour
1 : 1
Wally Daan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linguere 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 ASC Jaraaf 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Ouakam 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Casa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Mbour 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 US Goree 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Diambars de Saly 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 ASC HLM 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Generation Foot 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Pikine 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Guediawaye 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Teungueth 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 AJEL 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Wally Daan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Essamaye 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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