Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Bescot Stadium, Walsall

Walsall

0 - 1

Northampton

Our Tip

Match Events

46'

Sub

Jellis J. In: Finnigan R.

Out: Jellis J.

46'

Sub

McGeehan C. In: Fornah T.

Out: McGeehan C.

46'

Sub

Thorniley J. In: Guinness-Walker N.

Out: Thorniley J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Northampton advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%

Walsall

30%

Draws

12%

Northampton

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Walsall

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence

Walsall carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Walsall a 58% chance of winning this.
Walsall have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Northampton, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Walsall Clean Sheet 68%

Northampton Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Walsall	Northampton
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	7	3
Draws	8	6
Losses	13	19
Goals Scored	1	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.46	1.79
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 EFL Trophy

Northampton vs Walsall

4:2

Oct 7, 2025 EFL Trophy

Walsall vs Northampton

0:1

Feb 4, 2023 League Two

Northampton vs Walsall

0:0

Oct 4, 2022 League Two

Walsall vs Northampton

1:0

Mar 1, 2022 League Two

Northampton vs Walsall

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Walsall Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Northampton Compare

Top Goalscorer Swyer K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Walsall 95 / 100

Northampton 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Walsall Northampton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Walsall Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northampton has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Walsall remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Northampton registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Walsall VS Northampton

0.88 Goals Scored 1

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13

38% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Walsall

(Home)

29 Aug

Walsall

3 : 2

Accrington

25 Aug

Walsall

0 : 1

Leyton Orient

22 Aug

Walsall

0 : 0

Grimsby

15 Aug

Gillingham

0 : 3

Walsall

06 Aug

Bristol City

0 : 1

Walsall

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Northampton

(Away)

29 Aug

Gillingham

1 : 1

Northampton

22 Aug

Crewe

1 : 0

Northampton

18 Aug

Northampton

0 : 3

Brighton U21

15 Aug

Northampton

0 : 0

Swindon

08 Aug

Leicester

1 : 0

Northampton

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