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Walter Ferreti vs Esteli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Walter Ferreti host Esteli in the Liga Primera. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Esteli have shipped 0.84 goals a game lately, while Walter Ferreti have conceded 1.71 and scored 1.42. Head-to-head, Walter Ferreti have won 1 to Esteli's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.50) point toward Esteli. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Walter Ferreti
35%
Draws
28%
Esteli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Walter Ferreti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Esteli lately — more wins on the board than Walter Ferreti.
  • Win probability leans Walter Ferreti's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Esteli have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Walter Ferreti Clean Sheet 16%
Esteli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Walter Ferreti Esteli
Matches Played 31 37
Wins 9 21
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.42 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.71 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Walter Ferreti
4:1
Apr 16, 2026 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Walter Ferreti
2:4
Feb 15, 2026 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Esteli
0:4
Nov 28, 2025 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Walter Ferreti
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Esteli
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Walter Ferreti 48 / 100
Esteli 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Walter Ferreti Esteli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Walter Ferreti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Walter Ferreti scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Walter Ferreti stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Esteli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 37 matches.

Scoring Trends

Walter Ferreti VS Esteli
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Walter Ferreti

(Home)
15 Oct
Matagalpa
1 : 5
Walter Ferreti
11 Oct
Diriangen
2 : 4
Walter Ferreti
04 Oct
Walter Ferreti
2 : 2
Jalapa
06 Sept
Walter Ferreti
2 : 3
Managua FC
02 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 1
Walter Ferreti
Page 1 of 7

Esteli

(Away)
16 Oct
Esteli
1 : 1
Jalapa
11 Oct
Matagalpa
1 : 4
Esteli
08 Oct
UNAN-Managua
1 : 0
Esteli
11 Sept
Managua FC
1 : 1
Esteli
06 Sept
Rancho Santana
1 : 1
Esteli
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 12 10 2 0 37:12 32
2 Diriangen 12 9 2 1 27:12 29
3 Esteli 12 6 4 2 22:9 22
4 UNAN-Managua 12 6 3 3 14:11 21
5 Sport Sebaco 11 5 2 4 13:17 17
6 Walter Ferreti 12 4 2 6 23:21 14
7 San Marcos 12 3 1 8 11:21 10
8 Matagalpa 11 3 0 8 6:25 9
9 Jalapa 12 1 3 8 7:18 6
10 Rancho Santana 12 1 3 8 9:23 6
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)