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Walter Ferreti vs Matagalpa

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Caceres J.
39'
Garcia J.
53' Event
Perez E.

AI Match Summary

Walter Ferreti in this Liga Primera matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Walter Ferreti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Walter Ferreti
15%
Draws
76%
Matagalpa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Matagalpa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Walter Ferreti haven't matched Matagalpa's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Walter Ferreti taking it.
  • Regular Liga Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Walter Ferreti Clean Sheet 20%
Matagalpa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Walter Ferreti Matagalpa
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.1 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Matagalpa
4:1
Apr 18, 2026 Liga Primera
Matagalpa vs Walter Ferreti
4:0
Feb 18, 2026 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Matagalpa
0:3
Nov 6, 2025 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Matagalpa
1:2
Aug 31, 2025 Liga Primera
Matagalpa vs Walter Ferreti
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Walter Ferreti Compare

Top Goalscorer Caceres J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Matagalpa Compare

Top Goalscorer Zuniga A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Walter Ferreti 36 / 100
Matagalpa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Walter Ferreti Matagalpa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Matagalpa conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

Walter Ferreti found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Walter Ferreti has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Walter Ferreti VS Matagalpa
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Walter Ferreti

(Home)
20 Sept
Walter Ferreti
0 : 1
Jalapa
06 Sept
Walter Ferreti
2 : 3
Managua FC
02 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 1
Walter Ferreti
30 Aug
San Marcos
1 : 0
Walter Ferreti
24 Aug
Walter Ferreti
0 : 1
UNAN-Managua
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Matagalpa

(Away)
07 Sept
Matagalpa
0 : 3
Diriangen
04 Sept
Matagalpa
1 : 0
UNAN-Managua
30 Aug
Matagalpa
0 : 1
Rancho Santana
23 Aug
Jalapa
0 : 1
Matagalpa
16 Aug
Matagalpa
1 : 0
San Marcos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 9 7 2 0 27:9 23
2 Diriangen 9 7 2 0 20:6 23
3 Esteli 9 5 3 1 17:6 18
4 UNAN-Managua 9 5 2 2 11:7 17
5 Sport Sebaco 9 3 2 4 9:17 11
6 San Marcos 9 3 1 5 8:14 10
7 Matagalpa 9 3 0 6 4:16 9
8 Walter Ferreti 10 2 1 7 12:17 7
9 Jalapa 10 2 1 7 5:14 7
10 Rancho Santana 9 1 2 6 7:14 5
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)