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Walter Ferreti vs UNAN-Managua

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Punyed R.
56' Event
Dos Santos L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Primera 2025/2026 game between Walter Ferreti and UNAN-Managua finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Walter Ferreti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Walter Ferreti
44%
Draws
20%
UNAN-Managua
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Walter Ferreti carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Primera 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Walter Ferreti have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Walter Ferreti Clean Sheet 20%
UNAN-Managua Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Walter Ferreti UNAN-Managua
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs UNAN-Managua
2:0
Jan 19, 2026 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Walter Ferreti
0:0
Sep 21, 2025 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Walter Ferreti
1:4
Jul 18, 2025 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs UNAN-Managua
3:0
Mar 20, 2025 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs UNAN-Managua
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Walter Ferreti Compare

Top Goalscorer Punyed R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dos Santos L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

UNAN-Managua Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Walter Ferreti 36 / 100
UNAN-Managua 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Walter Ferreti UNAN-Managua

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Walter Ferreti scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: UNAN-Managua conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Walter Ferreti stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Walter Ferreti VS UNAN-Managua
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Diriangen18123340:1939
2Esteli18114341:1937
3Jalapa1896329:1633
4Managua FC1885522:1829
5Matagalpa1857630:2422
6Walter Ferreti1856718:2821
7Sport Sebaco18621023:2420
8UNAN-Managua18441021:3416
9Rancho Santana18441020:4316
10Real Madriz18431114:3315