Sport Picks
Walton Casuals vs Merthyr Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern League South Division 2021/2022 
Match Events
68'
68'
Reffell K.
71'
71'
Liddle A.
71'
71'
Liddle A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Southern League South Division 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Walton Casuals have won more games recently than Merthyr Town.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Southern League South Division 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Walton Casuals Clean Sheet 14%
Merthyr Town Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Walton Casuals | Merthyr Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 29, 2022 Southern League Premier South
Walton Casuals vs Merthyr Town
1:1
Oct 9, 2021 Southern League Premier South
Merthyr Town vs Walton Casuals
0:2
Jan 9, 2021 Southern League Premier South
Walton Casuals vs Merthyr Town
0:0
Oct 17, 2020 Southern League Premier South
Merthyr Town vs Walton Casuals
0:0
Dec 14, 2019 Southern League Premier South
Merthyr Town vs Walton Casuals
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Walton Casuals Compare
Top Goalscorer Rowe D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Merthyr Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Reffell K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Walton Casuals 30 / 100
Merthyr Town 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Walton Casuals Merthyr Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Walton Casuals Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Merthyr Town conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Walton Casuals scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Walton Casuals went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
- VS Merthyr Town
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Walton Casuals
(Home) 23 Apr
Walton Casuals
1 : 1 Dorchester
18 Apr
Harrow Borough
0 : 0 Walton Casuals
16 Apr
Walton Casuals
3 : 2 Tiverton
09 Apr
Truro
2 : 0 Walton Casuals
05 Apr
Walton Casuals
0 : 3 Yate
Page 1 of 6
23 Apr
Walton Casuals
1 : 1 Dorchester
16 Apr
Walton Casuals
3 : 2 Tiverton
05 Apr
Walton Casuals
0 : 3 Yate
02 Apr
Walton Casuals
0 : 1 Chesham
19 Mar
Walton Casuals
2 : 0 Salisbury
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Merthyr Town
(Away) 26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2 Marine
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0 Merthyr Town
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Truro
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0 Merthyr Town
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1 Merthyr Town
31 Aug
Buxton
2 : 1 Merthyr Town
22 Aug
South Shields
1 : 1 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taunton Town | 42 | 28 | 7 | 7 | 83:42 | 91 |
| 2 | Hayes & Yeading | 42 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 100:39 | 86 |
| 3 | Farnborough | 42 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 73:44 | 85 |
| 4 | Metropolitan Police | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 72:46 | 81 |
| 5 | Weston-super-Mare | 42 | 23 | 9 | 10 | 72:41 | 78 |
| 6 | Chesham | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 80:50 | 77 |
| 7 | Yate | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 66:48 | 72 |
| 8 | Truro | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 62:54 | 70 |
| 9 | Gosport Borough | 42 | 19 | 9 | 14 | 65:56 | 66 |
| 10 | Poole Town | 42 | 19 | 7 | 16 | 74:69 | 64 |
| 11 | Walton Casuals | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 53:61 | 58 |
| 12 | Swindon Supermarine | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 63:63 | 57 |
| 13 | Tiverton | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 61:63 | 53 |
| 14 | Harrow Borough | 42 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 62:77 | 52 |
| 15 | Salisbury | 42 | 13 | 9 | 20 | 49:75 | 48 |
| 16 | Hendon | 42 | 14 | 5 | 23 | 58:70 | 47 |
| 17 | Beaconsfield Town | 42 | 13 | 7 | 22 | 70:92 | 46 |
| 18 | Hartley Wintney | 42 | 13 | 5 | 24 | 56:75 | 44 |
| 19 | Dorchester | 42 | 12 | 5 | 25 | 41:58 | 41 |
| 20 | Kings Langley | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:68 | 37 |
| 21 | Merthyr Town | 42 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 47:94 | 26 |
| 22 | Wimborne | 42 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 35:106 | 19 |
Promotion - Southern League South Division 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
