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Wanaka FC vs Christchurch

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Osawa S.
53' Event
Osawa S.
60' Event
Stevens J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Chatham Cup 2025 game between Wanaka FC and Christchurch finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Christchurch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Wanaka FC
20%
Draws
38%
Christchurch
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wanaka FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Christchurch carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Wanaka FC a 42% chance of winning this.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Chatham Cup 2025 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Wanaka FC Clean Sheet 10%
Christchurch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wanaka FC Christchurch
Matches Played 2 31
Wins 0 16
Draws 0 5
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 3 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2025 Chatham Cup
Wanaka FC vs Christchurch
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wanaka FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Christchurch Compare

Top Goalscorer Osawa S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wanaka FC 40 / 100
Christchurch 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wanaka FC Christchurch

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Christchurch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Wanaka FC found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (2 games).

Away concern: Christchurch has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wanaka FC VS Christchurch
0 Goals Scored 2
3 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Fencibles United AFC2
Western Springs1
Manukau United1
Eastern Suburbs3
Western Suburbs4
Palmerston North United FC1
Napier City2
Wellington Olympic3
Wanaka FC0
Christchurch3
Auckland United7
Melville1
Dunedin City Royals0
Nelson Suburbs FC1
Birkenhead7
Waiheke United0
Quarter-finals
Fencibles United AFC0
Eastern Suburbs2
Western Suburbs2
Wellington Olympic3
Christchurch2
Auckland United4
Nelson Suburbs FC2
Birkenhead1
Semi-finals
Eastern Suburbs1
Wellington Olympic2
Auckland United3
Nelson Suburbs FC0
Final
Wellington Olympic4
Auckland United2