Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Waregem vs AZ Alkmaar

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Hedl T.
36'
56'

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Waregem and AZ Alkmaar finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Waregem
20%
Draws
46%
AZ Alkmaar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AZ Alkmaar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Waregem carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on AZ Alkmaar taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Waregem Clean Sheet 12%
AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waregem AZ Alkmaar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 15
Draws 3 8
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.93 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Waregem vs AZ Alkmaar
1:1
Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
AZ Alkmaar vs Waregem
0:1
Jul 22, 2018 Club Friendly
Waregem vs AZ Alkmaar
0:1
Jan 11, 2014 Club Friendly
AZ Alkmaar vs Waregem
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Waregem Compare

Top Goalscorer Hedl T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

AZ Alkmaar Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovacs B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waregem 10 / 100
AZ Alkmaar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waregem AZ Alkmaar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZ Alkmaar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waregem has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Waregem found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: AZ Alkmaar conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Waregem VS AZ Alkmaar
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Waregem

(Home)
15 Aug
Royale Union SG
0 : 0
Waregem
09 Aug
Waregem
2 : 1
Genk
01 Aug
Beerschot VA
2 : 3
Waregem
25 Jul
Waregem
3 : 2
Sparta Rotterdam
18 Jul
Waregem
1 : 1
AZ Alkmaar
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AZ Alkmaar

(Away)
15 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 4
AZ Alkmaar
08 Aug
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 0
Den Haag
02 Aug
PSV
0 : 4
AZ Alkmaar
25 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
3 : 2
Olympiacos Piraeus
22 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
4 : 0
Genk
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