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Waregem vs AZ Alkmaar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Hedl T.
36'
56'

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Waregem and AZ Alkmaar finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Waregem
20%
Draws
57%
AZ Alkmaar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AZ Alkmaar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Waregem carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Waregem Clean Sheet 10%
AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waregem AZ Alkmaar
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 16
Draws 4 8
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.97 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Waregem vs AZ Alkmaar
1:1
Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
AZ Alkmaar vs Waregem
0:1
Jul 22, 2018 Club Friendly
Waregem vs AZ Alkmaar
0:1
Jan 11, 2014 Club Friendly
AZ Alkmaar vs Waregem
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Waregem Compare

Top Goalscorer Hedl T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

AZ Alkmaar Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovacs B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waregem 30 / 100
AZ Alkmaar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waregem AZ Alkmaar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZ Alkmaar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Waregem scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: AZ Alkmaar conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Waregem stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Waregem VS AZ Alkmaar
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Waregem

(Home)
02 Oct
Lille
2 : 1
Waregem
19 Sept
Anderlecht
3 : 0
Waregem
13 Sept
Waregem
0 : 1
Charleroi
06 Sept
Kortrijk
0 : 2
Waregem
30 Aug
Westerlo
2 : 2
Waregem
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AZ Alkmaar

(Away)
20 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 0
Telstar
16 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1
Willem II
06 Sept
Heerenveen
2 : 3
AZ Alkmaar
29 Aug
AZ Alkmaar
5 : 2
G.A. Eagles
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