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Waregem vs RFC Seraing - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Belgian Cup. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Waregem at 1.97 goals for, 1.28 against; RFC Seraing at 1.39 for, 1.61 against. Head-to-head, Waregem have won 3 to RFC Seraing's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.31, favoring Waregem. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Waregem
30%
Draws
39%
RFC Seraing
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: RFC Seraing

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Waregem lately — more wins on the board than RFC Seraing.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Waregem have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Waregem, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Waregem Clean Sheet 18%
RFC Seraing Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waregem RFC Seraing
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.97 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Challenger Pro League
RFC Seraing vs Waregem
0:0
Nov 24, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Waregem vs RFC Seraing
5:1
Dec 15, 2023 Challenger Pro League
Waregem vs RFC Seraing
2:1
Aug 25, 2023 Challenger Pro League
RFC Seraing vs Waregem
0:5
Feb 18, 2023 Jupiler Pro League
RFC Seraing vs Waregem
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waregem 36 / 100
RFC Seraing 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waregem RFC Seraing

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFC Seraing Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Waregem found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

RFC Seraing has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Waregem has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Waregem VS RFC Seraing
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Waregem

(Home)
02 Oct
Lille
2 : 1
Waregem
19 Sept
Anderlecht
3 : 0
Waregem
13 Sept
Waregem
0 : 1
Charleroi
06 Sept
Kortrijk
0 : 2
Waregem
30 Aug
Westerlo
2 : 2
Waregem
Page 1 of 6

RFC Seraing

(Away)
27 Sept
Knokke
2 : 5
RFC Seraing
19 Sept
Genk U23
2 : 2
RFC Seraing
12 Sept
RFC Seraing
1 : 2
Hasselt
04 Sept
Dender
2 : 0
RFC Seraing
30 Aug
RFC Seraing
1 : 1
Lierse SK
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
St. Truiden -
TBD -
Diksmuide Oostende 0
Lommel SK 2
Westerlo -
TBD -
SK Roeselare 1
Patro Eisden 2
Crossing Schaerbeek 3
Beerschot VA 5
TBD -
Anderlecht -
Heist 3
Kortrijk 2
TBD -
Antwerp -
Waregem -
TBD -
Knokke 2
RFC Seraing 5
Club Brugge -
TBD -
Houtvenne 0
Sporting Lokeren 5
KV Mechelen -
TBD -
Merelbeke 0
Eupen 1
Union Rochefortoise 3
Lierse SK 2
TBD -
Gent -
SK Beveren -
TBD -
OC Charleroi 1
Habay La Neuve 2
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
Nijlen 3
Boom 1
Oostkamp 0
Virton 3
TBD -
Genk -
Londerzeel 0
Renaissance Mons 4
TBD -
Charleroi -
RAAL La Louviere -
TBD -
RFC Liege 4
Wellen 1
St. Liege -
TBD -
Hoogstraten 0
Dender 6
Leuven -
TBD -
Diegem 0
Francs Borains 1
Mandel United 1
Hasselt 3
TBD -
Cercle Brugge -
1/16-finals
St. Truiden -
Lommel SK -
Westerlo -
Patro Eisden -
Beerschot VA -
Anderlecht -
Heist -
Antwerp -
Waregem -
RFC Seraing -
Club Brugge -
Sporting Lokeren -
KV Mechelen -
Eupen -
Union Rochefortoise -
Gent -
SK Beveren -
Habay La Neuve -
Royale Union SG -
Nijlen -
Virton -
Genk -
Renaissance Mons -
Charleroi -
RAAL La Louviere -
RFC Liege -
St. Liege -
Dender -
Leuven -
Francs Borains -
Hasselt -
Cercle Brugge -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -