Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Waren vs Luckenwalde

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Waren in this Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Waren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Waren
15%
Draws
0%
Luckenwalde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Waren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Waren lately — more wins on the board than Luckenwalde.
  • Waren are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Waren have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Waren Clean Sheet 20%
Luckenwalde Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waren Luckenwalde
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.23 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2015 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Waren vs Luckenwalde
2:1
Oct 18, 2014 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Luckenwalde vs Waren
0:1
Mar 3, 2013 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Luckenwalde vs Waren
3:4
Aug 24, 2012 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Waren vs Luckenwalde
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waren 58 / 100
Luckenwalde 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waren Luckenwalde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waren Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Luckenwalde conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Luckenwalde has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Waren scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Luckenwalde
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Waren

(Home)
29 Jun
Waren
0 : 4
Hansa Rostock
14 Jun
Waren
0 : 4
Hansa Rostock II
07 Jun
Lichtenberg
2 : 1
Waren
23 May
Waren
4 : 0
Brandenburger
15 May
Malchower
1 : 1
Waren
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Luckenwalde

(Away)
12 Sept
Aue
2 : 1
Luckenwalde
30 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Dynamo
25 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 5
Erfurt
14 Aug
Zwickau
2 : 1
Luckenwalde
08 Aug
Luckenwalde
2 : 3
SV Tasmania Berlin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rathenow 30 20 6 4 65:38 66
2 Schonberg 30 18 9 3 73:23 63
3 Luckenwalde 30 18 7 5 65:32 61
4 Lichtenberg 30 16 4 10 69:49 52
5 Malchower 30 12 13 5 50:45 49
6 Altludersdorf 30 13 9 8 54:36 48
7 Hansa Rostock II 30 13 8 9 48:36 47
8 Furstenwalde 30 13 5 12 41:45 44
9 Hertha Zehlendorf 30 13 4 13 58:43 43
10 Neubrandenburg 30 10 7 13 44:60 37
11 Waren 30 10 7 13 37:57 37
12 Schoneiche 30 9 7 14 31:52 34
13 Brandenburger 30 9 5 16 46:59 32
14 Strausberg 30 7 5 18 40:58 26
15 Greifswalder FC 30 6 3 21 24:53 21
16 Hurturkel 30 2 3 25 31:90 9
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Play Offs 2014/2015 (Promotion - Play Offs)