Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Warrenpoint vs Armagh

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship Milltown, Warrenpoint
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship game between Warrenpoint and Armagh finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Warrenpoint.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Warrenpoint
15%
Draws
21%
Armagh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Warrenpoint

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Warrenpoint come out ahead of Armagh on wins alone.
  • Model gives Warrenpoint a 64% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Warrenpoint Clean Sheet 20%
Armagh Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warrenpoint Armagh
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 3 6
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 1.03 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.48 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 NIFL Championship
Warrenpoint vs Armagh
2:0
Mar 28, 2026 NIFL Championship
Warrenpoint vs Armagh
0:0
Jan 17, 2026 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Warrenpoint
1:5
Nov 15, 2025 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Warrenpoint
0:2
Aug 30, 2025 NIFL Championship
Warrenpoint vs Armagh
3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warrenpoint 40 / 100
Armagh 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warrenpoint Armagh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warrenpoint Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Armagh conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Armagh's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Warrenpoint scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Warrenpoint VS Armagh
0.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Warrenpoint

(Home)
11 Aug
Warrenpoint
2 : 0
Armagh
08 Aug
Harland & Wolff
3 : 0
Warrenpoint
21 Jul
Cliftonville
2 : 1
Warrenpoint
11 Jul
Crusaders
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
04 Jul
Limavady
4 : 1
Warrenpoint
Page 1 of 6

Armagh

(Away)
11 Aug
Warrenpoint
2 : 0
Armagh
08 Aug
Armagh
1 : 1
Queens University
10 Jul
Armagh
0 : 1
Cliftonville
25 Apr
Armagh
1 : 4
Institute
21 Apr
Ballinamallard
6 : 0
Armagh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ards 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 Newington FC 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
3 Glenavon 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
4 Harland & Wolff 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
5 Newry City 3 2 0 1 4:5 6
6 Loughgall 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
7 Moyola 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
8 Queens University 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
9 Institute 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
10 Annagh 3 1 1 1 7:8 4
11 Dundela 3 0 3 0 6:6 3
12 Strabane Athletic 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
13 Ballinamallard 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
14 Warrenpoint 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
15 Armagh 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
16 Rathfriland Rangers 3 0 0 3 4:9 0
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)