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Warrenpoint vs Armagh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship Milltown, Warrenpoint
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship game between Warrenpoint and Armagh finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Warrenpoint.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Warrenpoint
35%
Draws
19%
Armagh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Warrenpoint

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Warrenpoint come out ahead of Armagh on wins alone.
  • Model gives Warrenpoint a 46% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Warrenpoint Clean Sheet 20%
Armagh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warrenpoint Armagh
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 0
Draws 4 9
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1.17 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.6 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 NIFL Championship
Warrenpoint vs Armagh
2:0
Mar 28, 2026 NIFL Championship
Warrenpoint vs Armagh
0:0
Jan 17, 2026 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Warrenpoint
1:5
Nov 15, 2025 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Warrenpoint
0:2
Aug 30, 2025 NIFL Championship
Warrenpoint vs Armagh
3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warrenpoint 85 / 100
Armagh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warrenpoint Armagh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warrenpoint Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Armagh conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Warrenpoint stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Warrenpoint scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Warrenpoint VS Armagh
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Warrenpoint

(Home)
03 Oct
Warrenpoint
1 : 1
Annagh
25 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2
Warrenpoint
19 Sept
Institute
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
12 Sept
Warrenpoint
6 : 2
Moyola
05 Sept
Warrenpoint
0 : 1
Newington FC
Page 1 of 6

Armagh

(Away)
02 Oct
Strabane Athletic
0 : 0
Armagh
26 Sept
Armagh
0 : 2
Dundela
19 Sept
Loughgall
0 : 0
Armagh
12 Sept
Armagh
3 : 5
Institute
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2
Armagh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Glenavon 10 6 2 2 25:13 20
3 Newington FC 10 6 2 2 24:18 20
4 Queens University 10 6 1 3 20:7 19
5 Institute 10 5 1 4 20:17 16
6 Harland & Wolff 10 5 0 5 18:16 15
7 Newry City 10 4 3 3 16:18 15
8 Warrenpoint 10 4 2 4 18:15 14
9 Ballinamallard 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
10 Loughgall 10 3 4 3 14:19 13
11 Ards 10 3 3 4 12:13 12
12 Dundela 10 2 5 3 18:20 11
13 Moyola 10 3 2 5 10:20 11
14 Strabane Athletic 10 2 3 5 10:19 9
15 Rathfriland Rangers 10 2 0 8 9:22 6
16 Armagh 10 0 5 5 8:16 5
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)