Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Lusty M.
72'
72'
O'Connor T.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-2, with Larne advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Larne
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Larne carry the better recent record into this one.
- Larne are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Larne arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Larne, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Larne here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Warrenpoint Clean Sheet 14%
Larne Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Warrenpoint | Larne |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 20 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.29 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.29 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.29 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 7, 2026 Irish Cup
Warrenpoint vs Larne
0:2
Jul 28, 2022 Club Friendly
Warrenpoint vs Larne
0:1
Jan 25, 2022 NIFL Premiership
Warrenpoint vs Larne
0:3
Dec 4, 2021 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Warrenpoint
3:0
Sep 11, 2021 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Warrenpoint
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Warrenpoint Compare
Avg xG / game 0.22
Avg xA / game 0.14
Larne Compare
Top Goalscorer Lusty M.
1 Goals Assists Leader O'Connor T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Warrenpoint 10 / 100
Larne 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Warrenpoint Larne
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Warrenpoint found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).
Larne let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: Warrenpoint remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Warrenpoint VS Larne
0.29 Goals Scored 1.88
1.29 Goals Conceded 0.75
43% Over 1.5 63%
14% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Warrenpoint
(Home) 11 Jul
Crusaders
2 : 0 Warrenpoint
04 Jul
Limavady
4 : 1 Warrenpoint
25 Apr
Warrenpoint
0 : 1 Ards
18 Apr
Ballinamallard
0 : 1 Warrenpoint
11 Apr
Dundela
2 : 0 Warrenpoint
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Warrenpoint
0 : 1 Ards
28 Mar
Warrenpoint
0 : 0 Armagh
14 Mar
Warrenpoint
0 : 1 Annagh
10 Mar
Warrenpoint
2 : 4 Newington FC
07 Mar
Warrenpoint
1 : 2 Institute
Page 1 of 3
Larne
(Away) 14 Jul
Larne
2 : 1 Tre Fiori
07 Jul
Tre Fiori
0 : 1 Larne
03 Jul
Larne
1 : 0 Coleraine
29 Jun
Harland & Wolff
1 : 2 Larne
23 Jun
Larne
1 : 0 Connahs Q.
Page 1 of 6
07 Jul
Tre Fiori
0 : 1 Larne
29 Jun
Harland & Wolff
1 : 2 Larne
20 Jun
Stranraer
0 : 0 Larne
17 Apr
Glentoran
0 : 0 Larne
11 Apr
Linfield
0 : 2 Larne
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
TBD-
Loughgall-
Wakehurst2
Knockbreda4
Ballinamallard-
TBD-
TBD-
Institute-
Cliftonville-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundela-
Glenavon-
TBD-
TBD-
Newington FC-
Portadown-
TBD-
TBD-
Annagh-
Dungannon-
TBD-
TBD-
Ards-
Newbuildings1
Moyola2
TBD-
Harland & Wolff-
Comber Rec3
Hanover1
Ballymacash4
Willowbank0
Strabane Athletic2
Rathfriland Rangers1
TBD-
Glentoran-
Armagh-
TBD-
Newry City1
Drumaness2
Lisburn Distillery4
Finaghy FC2
TBD-
Warrenpoint-
Ballymena-
TBD-
TBD-
Larne-
Limavady-
TBD-
Lisburn Rangers5
Dergview4
Linfield-
TBD-
TBD-
Bangor FC-
Carrick Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
Queens University-
Coleraine-
TBD-
TBD-
Crusaders-
1/16-finals
Loughgall2
Knockbreda0
Ballinamallard0
Institute3
Cliftonville3
Dundela0
Glenavon4
Newington FC2
Portadown4
Annagh2
Dungannon3
Ards0
Moyola2
Harland & Wolff4
Comber Rec0
Ballymacash3
Strabane Athletic0
Glentoran4
Armagh1
Drumaness4
Lisburn Distillery3
Warrenpoint4
Ballymena1
Larne2
Limavady4
Lisburn Rangers1
Linfield1
Bangor FC0
Carrick Rangers5
Queens University1
Coleraine4
Crusaders0
1/8-finals
Loughgall2
Institute1
Cliftonville2
Glenavon1
Portadown1
Dungannon2
Harland & Wolff3
Ballymacash0
Glentoran5
Drumaness0
Warrenpoint0
Larne2
Limavady1
Linfield0
Carrick Rangers1
Coleraine4
Quarter-finals
Loughgall0
Cliftonville3
Dungannon3
Harland & Wolff0
Glentoran1
Larne2
Limavady0
Coleraine2
Semi-finals
Cliftonville1
Dungannon2
Larne1
Coleraine2
Final
Dungannon2
Coleraine3