Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Lusty M.
72'
72'
O'Connor T.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Larne
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Larne carry the better recent record into this one.
- Warrenpoint are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Larne arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Larne, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Larne here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Warrenpoint Clean Sheet 68%
Larne Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Warrenpoint | Larne |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 20 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 18 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 7, 2026 Irish Cup
Warrenpoint vs Larne
0:2
Jul 28, 2022 Club Friendly
Warrenpoint vs Larne
0:1
Jan 25, 2022 NIFL Premiership
Warrenpoint vs Larne
0:3
Dec 4, 2021 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Warrenpoint
3:0
Sep 11, 2021 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Warrenpoint
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Warrenpoint Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Larne Compare
Top Goalscorer Lusty M.
1 Goals Assists Leader O'Connor T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Warrenpoint 59 / 100
Larne 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Warrenpoint Larne
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Warrenpoint Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Warrenpoint remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Warrenpoint scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Larne conceded in 44% of 32 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Warrenpoint VS Larne
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Warrenpoint
(Home) 12 Sept
Warrenpoint
6 : 2 Moyola
05 Sept
Warrenpoint
0 : 1 Newington FC
28 Aug
Loughgall
3 : 3 Warrenpoint
21 Aug
Newry City
0 : 3 Warrenpoint
15 Aug
Warrenpoint
1 : 3 Ards
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Warrenpoint
6 : 2 Moyola
05 Sept
Warrenpoint
0 : 1 Newington FC
15 Aug
Warrenpoint
1 : 3 Ards
11 Aug
Warrenpoint
2 : 0 Armagh
25 Apr
Warrenpoint
0 : 1 Ards
Page 1 of 3
Larne
(Away) 15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0 Cliftonville
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2 Larne
08 Sept
Larne
1 : 0 Bangor FC
04 Sept
Larne
2 : 1 Glentoran
27 Aug
Larne
0 : 3 Lincoln Red Imps
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2 Larne
20 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps
0 : 2 Larne
15 Aug
Coleraine
0 : 0 Larne
11 Aug
Iberia 1999
2 : 1 Larne
29 Jul
Crvena zvezda
5 : 0 Larne
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
TBD -
Loughgall -
Wakehurst 2
Knockbreda 4
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Newbuildings 1
Moyola 2
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Comber Rec 3
Hanover 1
Ballymacash 4
Willowbank 0
Strabane Athletic 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Glentoran -
Armagh -
TBD -
Newry City 1
Drumaness 2
Lisburn Distillery 4
Finaghy FC 2
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Limavady -
TBD -
Lisburn Rangers 5
Dergview 4
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Loughgall 2
Knockbreda 0
Ballinamallard 0
Institute 3
Cliftonville 3
Dundela 0
Glenavon 4
Newington FC 2
Portadown 4
Annagh 2
Dungannon 3
Ards 0
Moyola 2
Harland & Wolff 4
Comber Rec 0
Ballymacash 3
Strabane Athletic 0
Glentoran 4
Armagh 1
Drumaness 4
Lisburn Distillery 3
Warrenpoint 4
Ballymena 1
Larne 2
Limavady 4
Lisburn Rangers 1
Linfield 1
Bangor FC 0
Carrick Rangers 5
Queens University 1
Coleraine 4
Crusaders 0
1/8-finals
Loughgall 2
Institute 1
Cliftonville 2
Glenavon 1
Portadown 1
Dungannon 2
Harland & Wolff 3
Ballymacash 0
Glentoran 5
Drumaness 0
Warrenpoint 0
Larne 2
Limavady 1
Linfield 0
Carrick Rangers 1
Coleraine 4
Quarter-finals
Loughgall 0
Cliftonville 3
Dungannon 3
Harland & Wolff 0
Glentoran 1
Larne 2
Limavady 0
Coleraine 2
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 1
Dungannon 2
Larne 1
Coleraine 2
Final
Dungannon 2
Coleraine 3
