Sport Picks
Warrenpoint vs Lurgan Celtic
Northern Ireland
Irish League Cup 2017/2018 
Match Events
1'
1'
Murray S.
21'
21'
Murray S.
43'
43'
Wallace D.
AI Match Summary
Warrenpoint in this Irish League Cup 2017/2018 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Warrenpoint
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lurgan Celtic haven't matched Warrenpoint's recent run of results.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Warrenpoint taking it.
- Warrenpoint have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Warrenpoint, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Warrenpoint here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Warrenpoint Clean Sheet 20%
Lurgan Celtic Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Warrenpoint | Lurgan Celtic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 19 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 3.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.79 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2017 Irish League Cup
Warrenpoint vs Lurgan Celtic
4:1
Dec 10, 2016 NIFL Championship
Lurgan Celtic vs Warrenpoint
2:6
Oct 22, 2016 NIFL Championship
Warrenpoint vs Lurgan Celtic
4:2
Apr 9, 2011 IFA Championship 2
Lurgan Celtic vs Warrenpoint
1:3
Oct 9, 2010 IFA Championship 2
Warrenpoint vs Lurgan Celtic
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Warrenpoint Compare
Top Goalscorer Murray S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Wallace D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4
Lurgan Celtic Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Warrenpoint 58 / 100
Lurgan Celtic 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Warrenpoint Lurgan Celtic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Warrenpoint Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lurgan Celtic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 27 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Warrenpoint remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Away concern: Lurgan Celtic has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Warrenpoint VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Warrenpoint
(Home) 19 Sept
Institute
2 : 0 Warrenpoint
12 Sept
Warrenpoint
6 : 2 Moyola
05 Sept
Warrenpoint
0 : 1 Newington FC
28 Aug
Loughgall
3 : 3 Warrenpoint
21 Aug
Newry City
0 : 3 Warrenpoint
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Warrenpoint
6 : 2 Moyola
05 Sept
Warrenpoint
0 : 1 Newington FC
15 Aug
Warrenpoint
1 : 3 Ards
11 Aug
Warrenpoint
2 : 0 Armagh
25 Apr
Warrenpoint
0 : 1 Ards
Page 1 of 3
Lurgan Celtic
(Away) 27 Aug
Crusaders
: Lurgan Celtic
17 Aug
Hanover
: Lurgan Celtic
03 Nov
Lurgan Celtic
2 : 3 Portstewart
29 Sept
Lurgan Celtic
: St. Patricks Young
28 Aug
Ballinamallard
4 : 1 Lurgan Celtic
Page 1 of 6
27 Aug
Crusaders
: Lurgan Celtic
17 Aug
Hanover
: Lurgan Celtic
28 Aug
Ballinamallard
4 : 1 Lurgan Celtic
21 Apr
Limavady
6 : 0 Lurgan Celtic
14 Apr
Dergview
8 : 0 Lurgan Celtic
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Harland & Wolff 3
Armagh 0
TBD -
Portadown -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Annagh 0
Dergview 4
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
PSNI -
TBD -
Portstewart 2
Limavady 3
Banbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
Lurgan Celtic 1
Sport & Leisure 0
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Tobermore -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Ballymena 3
Knockbreda 0
Harland & Wolff 2
Portadown 3
Glenavon 5
Donegal 1
Queens University 0
Ards 5
Carrick Rangers 3
Dergview 0
Loughgall 0
Glentoran 1
PSNI 1
Limavady 0
Banbridge 0
Cliftonville 4
Dungannon 4
Newry City 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
Warrenpoint 4
Institute 2
Moyola 1
Newington FC 0
Ballyclare 2
Linfield 6
Lisburn Distillery 0
Tobermore 0
Ballinamallard 1
Coleraine 4
Larne 1
Dundela 1
Crusaders 2
1/8-finals
Ballymena 2
Portadown 0
Glenavon 0
Ards 4
Carrick Rangers 1
Glentoran 0
PSNI 0
Cliftonville 7
Dungannon 1
Warrenpoint 0
Institute 0
Ballyclare 1
Linfield 3
Ballinamallard 0
Coleraine 2
Crusaders 3
Quarter-finals
Ballymena 3
Ards 2
Carrick Rangers 0
Cliftonville 1
Dungannon 2
Ballyclare 1
Linfield 0
Crusaders 2
Semi-finals
Ballymena 3
Cliftonville 1
Dungannon 2
Crusaders 1
Final
Ballymena 1
Dungannon 3
