Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Warrington Town vs Gainsborough - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Warrington Town host Gainsborough in the NPL Premier Division. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Warrington Town have averaged 1.52 scored and 1.62 conceded recently, against Gainsborough's 1.59 scored and 1.52 conceded. Past meetings favor Gainsborough slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 6, 2025, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.94 - 2.25) back Gainsborough to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Warrington Town
20%
Draws
51%
Gainsborough
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gainsborough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gainsborough come out ahead of Warrington Town on wins alone.
  • Model gives Gainsborough a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Warrington Town Clean Sheet 10%
Gainsborough Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warrington Town Gainsborough
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Town vs Gainsborough
0:3
Sep 6, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Warrington Town
2:0
Apr 1, 2023 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Warrington Town
1:1
Oct 11, 2022 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Town vs Gainsborough
0:2
Dec 11, 2021 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Warrington Town
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warrington Town 18 / 100
Gainsborough 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warrington Town Gainsborough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gainsborough Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gainsborough conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Warrington Town's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Warrington Town remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Warrington Town VS Gainsborough
2 Goals Scored 2.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Warrington Town

(Home)
13 Oct
Bamber Bridge
0 : 1
Warrington Town
10 Oct
Warrington Town
2 : 2
Lancaster
06 Oct
Warrington Town
2 : 2
Workington
03 Oct
Marine
2 : 0
Warrington Town
26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3
Ashton United
Page 1 of 6

Gainsborough

(Away)
13 Oct
Gainsborough
3 : 1
Ilkeston
10 Oct
AFC Emley
1 : 2
Gainsborough
06 Oct
Whitby
2 : 6
Gainsborough
03 Oct
Gainsborough
2 : 3
Anstey Nomads
26 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 3
Gainsborough
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redcar Athletic 14 9 4 1 31:12 31
2 Cleethorpes 13 9 3 1 30:7 30
3 Guiseley 12 8 1 3 25:11 25
4 Avro 12 8 1 3 34:23 25
5 Warrington Rylands 14 7 2 5 25:21 23
6 Gainsborough 12 7 1 4 25:16 22
7 Curzon Ashton 12 7 1 4 24:16 22
8 Warrington Town 12 6 4 2 23:18 22
9 Workington 14 6 3 5 24:24 21
10 Lancaster 14 6 2 6 19:26 20
11 Bury FC 11 6 1 4 22:11 19
12 Alfreton 14 6 1 7 20:16 19
13 Whitby 13 5 1 7 19:33 16
14 Hyde 14 4 3 7 15:25 15
15 Ashton United 12 3 5 4 14:13 14
16 Quorn 13 3 5 5 23:29 14
17 Stockton 14 3 3 8 17:25 12
18 Leek Town 12 2 5 5 24:25 11
19 AFC Emley 13 2 5 6 12:25 11
20 Bamber Bridge 13 2 4 7 16:32 10
21 United of Manchester 12 1 4 7 15:23 7
22 Ilkeston 14 2 1 11 8:34 7
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)