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Warrior Valga II vs Premium Tartu

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2010/2011
Tue, Jul 27, 2010
1 - 0
03:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Warrior Valga II play Premium Tartu in the Estonian Cup 2010/2011. Warrior Valga II are favorites here. Recently, Warrior Valga II averaged 1.25 goals scored and 3.75 conceded. Premium Tartu averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Warrior Valga II won 1, Premium Tartu won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 27, 2010 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Warrior Valga II and 2.13 for Premium Tartu. This points to a Warrior Valga II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Warrior Valga II
15%
Draws
21%
Premium Tartu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Warrior Valga II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Warrior Valga II picked up more points recently compared to Premium Tartu.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Warrior Valga II Clean Sheet 10%
Premium Tartu Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warrior Valga II Premium Tartu
Matches Played 4 4
Wins 1 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 1.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 3.75 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.75 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2010 Estonian Cup
Warrior Valga II vs Premium Tartu
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warrior Valga II 60 / 100
Premium Tartu 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warrior Valga II Premium Tartu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warrior Valga II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Warrior Valga II & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.6%
1.79
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Warrior Valga II attacking → ← attacking Premium Tartu

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Warrior Valga II scored in 75% of their last 4 games.

Premium Tartu let in goals in 100% of their last 4 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Warrior Valga II went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Premium Tartu lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 0
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
3.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50