Sport Picks
Warta Gorzow vs Carina Gubin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group III 
Match Events
62'
62'
Tuliszka F.
64'
64'
Wawrzyniak F.
90'
90'
Bednarczyk P.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group III game between Warta Gorzow and Carina Gubin finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Warta Gorzow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Warta Gorzow come out ahead of Carina Gubin on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Warta Gorzow Clean Sheet 20%
Carina Gubin Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Warta Gorzow | Carina Gubin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Warta Gorzow vs Carina Gubin
2:1
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Warta Gorzow vs Carina Gubin
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Warta Gorzow
1:3
Aug 27, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Warta Gorzow vs Carina Gubin
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Warta Gorzow
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Warta Gorzow Compare
Top Goalscorer Tuliszka F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Wawrzyniak F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Carina Gubin Compare
Top Goalscorer Bednarczyk P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Warta Gorzow 31 / 100
Carina Gubin 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Warta Gorzow Carina Gubin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Warta Gorzow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Warta Gorzow found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Carina Gubin let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Warta Gorzow remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Warta Gorzow VS Carina Gubin
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Warta Gorzow
(Home) 10 Oct
Warta Gorzow
0 : 1 Polonia Nysa
03 Oct
BKS Sparta Katowice
1 : 1 Warta Gorzow
26 Sept
Warta Gorzow
1 : 1 Sleza Wroclaw
19 Sept
Goczalkowice Zdroj
4 : 1 Warta Gorzow
12 Sept
Warta Gorzow
1 : 0 Brzeg
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Warta Gorzow
0 : 1 Polonia Nysa
26 Sept
Warta Gorzow
1 : 1 Sleza Wroclaw
12 Sept
Warta Gorzow
1 : 0 Brzeg
29 Aug
Warta Gorzow
0 : 2 Zaglebie II
19 Aug
Warta Gorzow
0 : 0 Polkowice
Page 1 of 3
Carina Gubin
(Away) 10 Oct
Carina Gubin
0 : 0 Goczalkowice Zdroj
03 Oct
Brzeg
0 : 1 Carina Gubin
26 Sept
Carina Gubin
1 : 3 Stilon Gorzow
18 Sept
Zaglebie II
3 : 0 Carina Gubin
11 Sept
Carina Gubin
1 : 1 Bytom Odrzanski
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Brzeg
0 : 1 Carina Gubin
18 Sept
Zaglebie II
3 : 0 Carina Gubin
06 Sept
Polkowice
2 : 1 Carina Gubin
19 Aug
ROW Rybnik
4 : 0 Carina Gubin
08 Aug
Warta Gorzow
2 : 1 Carina Gubin
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaglebie II | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 24:14 | 24 |
| 2 | Bytom Odrzanski | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 13:6 | 24 |
| 3 | BKS Sparta Katowice | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19:8 | 24 |
| 4 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16:9 | 22 |
| 5 | Barycz Sulow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19:14 | 21 |
| 6 | ROW Rybnik | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Polkowice | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23:19 | 18 |
| 8 | Karkonosze Jelenia Gora | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13:9 | 18 |
| 9 | Legnica II | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 27:22 | 17 |
| 10 | Stilon Gorzow | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Warta Gorzow | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Goczalkowice Zdroj | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Kluczbork | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 10:18 | 12 |
| 14 | Brzeg | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Polonia Nysa | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13:24 | 11 |
| 16 | Sleza Wroclaw | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 18:28 | 10 |
| 17 | RKS Rakow Czestochowa II | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Carina Gubin | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8:22 | 9 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
