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Warta Gorzow vs Goczalkowice Zdroj

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Warta Gorzow play Goczalkowice Zdroj in the III Liga - Group III 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Warta Gorzow averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Goczalkowice Zdroj averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Warta Gorzow won 0, Goczalkowice Zdroj won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Warta Gorzow and 1.50 for Goczalkowice Zdroj. This points to a Goczalkowice Zdroj double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Warta Gorzow
20%
Draws
38%
Goczalkowice Zdroj
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Warta Gorzow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Goczalkowice Zdroj has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Warta Gorzow.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Warta Gorzow.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Warta Gorzow Clean Sheet 16%
Goczalkowice Zdroj Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warta Gorzow Goczalkowice Zdroj
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 14 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Warta Gorzow vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Warta Gorzow
2:1
Apr 18, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Warta Gorzow vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
0:2
Sep 21, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Warta Gorzow
2:0
Mar 2, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Warta Gorzow
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warta Gorzow Compare

Top Goalscorer Iskra J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Goczalkowice Zdroj Compare

Top Goalscorer Wroblewski N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bilinski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Gorzow 41 / 100
Goczalkowice Zdroj 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warta Gorzow Goczalkowice Zdroj

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Warta Gorzow scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Goczalkowice Zdroj let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Warta Gorzow went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Goczalkowice Zdroj lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Warta Gorzow VS Goczalkowice Zdroj
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057