Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Warta Gorzow vs Goczalkowice Zdroj

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Iskra J.
75'
Walis P.
75'
Walis P.

AI Match Summary

Goczalkowice Zdroj in this III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Goczalkowice Zdroj.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Warta Gorzow
22%
Draws
60%
Goczalkowice Zdroj
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Goczalkowice Zdroj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Warta Gorzow lately — more wins on the board than Goczalkowice Zdroj.
  • Win probability leans Goczalkowice Zdroj's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Goczalkowice Zdroj have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Warta Gorzow Clean Sheet 19%
Goczalkowice Zdroj Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warta Gorzow Goczalkowice Zdroj
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Warta Gorzow vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Warta Gorzow
2:1
Apr 18, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Warta Gorzow vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
0:2
Sep 21, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Warta Gorzow
2:0
Mar 2, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Warta Gorzow
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warta Gorzow Compare

Top Goalscorer Iskra J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Goczalkowice Zdroj Compare

Top Goalscorer Wroblewski N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bilinski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Gorzow 20 / 100
Goczalkowice Zdroj 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warta Gorzow Goczalkowice Zdroj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Warta Gorzow found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Goczalkowice Zdroj has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Warta Gorzow has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Warta Gorzow VS Goczalkowice Zdroj
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Warta Gorzow

(Home)
18 Jul
Kluczevia Stargard
3 : 0
Warta Gorzow
11 Jul
Warta Gorzow
1 : 1
Carina Gubin
08 Jul
Polkowice
0 : 1
Warta Gorzow
05 Jul
Swinoujscie
4 : 1
Warta Gorzow
30 May
Warta Gorzow
2 : 0
Pniowek Pawlowice
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Goczalkowice Zdroj

(Away)
18 Jul
Goczalkowice Zdroj
0 : 0
Rekord Bielsko-Biala
11 Jul
Goczalkowice Zdroj
0 : 1
KS Kuznia Ustron
11 Jul
Goczalkowice Zdroj
0 : 1
Unia Turza Slaska
04 Jul
Goczalkowice Zdroj
5 : 1
Szombierki Bytom
30 May
Goczalkowice Zdroj
3 : 2
Zaglebie II
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)