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Stadium Background

Warta Gorzow vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Walis P.
46' Event
Iskra J.
55' Event
Rybicki K.

AI Match Summary

Warta Gorzow in this III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Warta Gorzow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Warta Gorzow
28%
Draws
50%
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Karkonosze Jelenia Gora at 1.75 per game, Warta Gorzow at 1.38.
  • Karkonosze Jelenia Gora are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Warta Gorzow Clean Sheet 18%
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warta Gorzow Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Warta Gorzow vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
3:1
Aug 31, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Warta Gorzow
2:1
May 31, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Warta Gorzow vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
3:2
Nov 9, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Warta Gorzow
2:1
May 14, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Warta Gorzow
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warta Gorzow Compare

Top Goalscorer Walis P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iskra J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasprzyk D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Gorzow 23 / 100
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warta Gorzow Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Warta Gorzow found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Warta Gorzow remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Warta Gorzow VS Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057