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Warta Gorzow vs Polonia Nysa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
0 - 1
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event

AI Match Summary

Warta Gorzow host Polonia Nysa in the III Liga - Group III. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Polonia Nysa have shipped 1.7 goals a game lately, while Warta Gorzow have conceded 1.37 and scored 1.04. Head-to-head, Warta Gorzow have won 1 to Polonia Nysa's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Oct 10, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.19, favoring Warta Gorzow. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Warta Gorzow
30%
Draws
23%
Polonia Nysa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Warta Gorzow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Warta Gorzow carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Warta Gorzow's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Warta Gorzow Clean Sheet 20%
Polonia Nysa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warta Gorzow Polonia Nysa
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.04 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Warta Gorzow vs Polonia Nysa
0:1
May 9, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Warta Gorzow vs Polonia Nysa
1:0
Oct 17, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Polonia Nysa vs Warta Gorzow
1:1
Mar 25, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Polonia Nysa vs Warta Gorzow
1:1
Aug 20, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Warta Gorzow vs Polonia Nysa
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Gorzow 42 / 100
Polonia Nysa 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warta Gorzow Polonia Nysa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Warta Gorzow found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Polonia Nysa has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Warta Gorzow has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Warta Gorzow VS Polonia Nysa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Warta Gorzow

(Home)
03 Oct
BKS Sparta Katowice
1 : 1
Warta Gorzow
26 Sept
Warta Gorzow
1 : 1
Sleza Wroclaw
19 Sept
Goczalkowice Zdroj
4 : 1
Warta Gorzow
12 Sept
Warta Gorzow
1 : 0
Brzeg
05 Sept
Stilon Gorzow
1 : 1
Warta Gorzow
Page 1 of 6

Polonia Nysa

(Away)
02 Oct
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2
Legnica II
26 Sept
Kluczbork
1 : 3
Polonia Nysa
18 Sept
Polonia Nysa
0 : 2
RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
12 Sept
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
05 Sept
BKS Sparta Katowice
4 : 0
Polonia Nysa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BKS Sparta Katowice 11 7 3 1 19:7 24
2 Zaglebie II 11 6 5 0 23:13 23
3 Bytom Odrzanski 11 7 2 2 12:5 23
4 Barycz Sulow 11 6 2 3 18:13 20
5 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 10 6 1 3 15:9 19
6 Polkowice 12 5 3 4 23:19 18
7 Legnica II 12 5 2 5 27:22 17
8 ROW Rybnik 11 5 2 4 23:18 17
9 Stilon Gorzow 12 4 4 4 20:19 16
10 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 11 4 3 4 12:9 15
11 Warta Gorzow 11 3 5 3 11:17 14
12 Kluczbork 10 4 0 6 10:17 12
13 Brzeg 11 3 2 6 18:17 11
14 Goczalkowice Zdroj 11 3 2 6 11:16 11
15 Sleza Wroclaw 11 3 1 7 17:26 10
16 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
17 Polonia Nysa 11 2 2 7 12:24 8
18 Carina Gubin 11 2 2 7 8:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)