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Warta Poznan vs Polkowice

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
3 - 4
12:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Kwiatek M.
8' Event
Sobczak K.
9' Event
Stanek M.

AI Match Summary

Warta Poznan host Polkowice in the Club Friendly. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Warta Poznan have averaged 1 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Polkowice's 2.13 scored and 2.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Warta Poznan have won 4 to Polkowice's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 19, 2025, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.75) point toward Warta Poznan. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Warta Poznan
30%
Draws
34%
Polkowice
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Warta Poznan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Polkowice come out ahead of Warta Poznan on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Warta Poznan taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Warta Poznan have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Warta Poznan Clean Sheet 12%
Polkowice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warta Poznan Polkowice
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 9 5
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Warta Poznan vs Polkowice
2:0
Apr 19, 2014 Division 2 - West
Warta Poznan vs Polkowice
3:0
Sep 14, 2013 Division 2 - West
Polkowice vs Warta Poznan
2:3
Feb 23, 2013 Club Friendly
Warta Poznan vs Polkowice
0:0
Mar 18, 2012 Division 1
Warta Poznan vs Polkowice
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warta Poznan Compare

Top Goalscorer Stanek M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Polkowice Compare

Top Goalscorer Sobczak K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baranowski F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Poznan 35 / 100
Polkowice 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warta Poznan Polkowice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Warta Poznan's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Polkowice let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Warta Poznan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Warta Poznan VS Polkowice
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%