Sport Picks
Warta Sieradz vs MKS Mlawa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I 
Match Events
2'
2'
Zielski K.
11'
11'
Drzazga K.
47'
47'
Lis M.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
MKS Mlawa in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored MKS Mlawa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Warta Sieradz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- MKS Mlawa have won more games recently than Warta Sieradz.
- Model gives Warta Sieradz a 46% chance of winning this.
- Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 10%
MKS Mlawa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Warta Sieradz | MKS Mlawa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 2.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.56 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs MKS Mlawa
1:2
Feb 28, 2026 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Warta Sieradz
2:3
Aug 15, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs MKS Mlawa
3:0
May 24, 2025 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Warta Sieradz
4:0
Nov 2, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs MKS Mlawa
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Warta Sieradz Compare
Top Goalscorer Drzazga K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28
MKS Mlawa Compare
Top Goalscorer Zielski K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kirejczyk G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Warta Sieradz 47 / 100
MKS Mlawa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Warta Sieradz MKS Mlawa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Warta Sieradz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Warta Sieradz scored in 97% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Defensive concern: MKS Mlawa conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Warta Sieradz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Warta Sieradz VS MKS Mlawa
2 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Warta Sieradz
(Home) 09 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 3 Suwalki
03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2 Olimpia Zambrow
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2 Warta Sieradz
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 3 Suwalki
03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2 Olimpia Zambrow
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
22 Aug
Warta Sieradz
0 : 4 Zabkovia Zabki
Page 1 of 4
MKS Mlawa
(Away) 03 Oct
MKS Mlawa
2 : 4 Swit Mazowiecki
25 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
3 : 4 MKS Mlawa
19 Sept
MKS Mlawa
4 : 1 Troszyn
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4 MKS Mlawa
06 Sept
MKS Mlawa
0 : 2 LKS Lodz II
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
3 : 4 MKS Mlawa
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4 MKS Mlawa
29 Aug
Plock II
5 : 3 MKS Mlawa
22 Aug
LKS Lomza
0 : 0 MKS Mlawa
14 Aug
KTS Weszlo
5 : 1 MKS Mlawa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTS Weszlo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Suwalki | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 27:18 | 21 |
| 4 | Pelikan | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Swit Mazowiecki | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 6 | Plock II | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 22:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Zabkovia Zabki | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22:20 | 15 |
| 9 | Warta Sieradz | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:19 | 15 |
| 10 | Widzew Lodz II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 21:18 | 14 |
| 11 | Olimpia Zambrow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 12 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:20 | 13 |
| 14 | LKS Lodz II | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | 11 |
| 15 | MKS Mlawa | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 22:32 | 10 |
| 16 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:22 | 9 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:24 | 7 |
| 18 | LKS Lomza | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
