Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Warta Sieradz vs Pelikan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Warta Sieradz host Pelikan in the III Liga - Group I. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Warta Sieradz at 1.88 goals for, 1.39 against; Pelikan at 1.29 for, 1.32 against. Past meetings favor Warta Sieradz slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 16, 2025, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.56) point toward Warta Sieradz. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Warta Sieradz
30%
Draws
39%
Pelikan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pelikan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Warta Sieradz lately — more wins on the board than Pelikan.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 15%
Pelikan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warta Sieradz Pelikan
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs Warta Sieradz
1:2
Aug 21, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Pelikan
0:5
May 19, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs Warta Sieradz
3:2
Jan 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Warta Sieradz vs Pelikan
2:1
Oct 28, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Pelikan
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Sieradz 35 / 100
Pelikan 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warta Sieradz Pelikan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pelikan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Warta Sieradz scored in 97% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Pelikan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Warta Sieradz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Warta Sieradz VS Pelikan
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Warta Sieradz

(Home)
09 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 3
Suwalki
03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2
Olimpia Zambrow
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2
Warta Sieradz
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
Page 1 of 7

Pelikan

(Away)
10 Oct
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1 : 4
Pelikan
03 Oct
Pelikan
1 : 1
Widzew Lodz II
26 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 3
Pelikan
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0
Lidzbark Warmimski
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0
Pelikan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 12 9 2 1 26:10 29
2 Suwalki 12 7 4 1 22:11 25
3 Pelikan 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 12 6 3 3 28:22 21
5 Plock II 12 6 3 3 24:19 21
6 Swit Mazowiecki 12 6 2 4 22:19 20
7 Olimpia Zambrow 12 5 2 5 26:27 17
8 Zabkovia Zabki 11 5 2 4 21:20 17
9 Jagiellonia II 11 4 4 3 24:22 16
10 Olimpia Elblag 12 5 1 6 18:21 16
11 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
12 LKS Lodz II 11 4 2 5 23:21 14
13 Widzew Lodz II 11 4 2 5 21:20 14
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 12 4 1 7 21:26 13
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 12 3 3 6 19:24 12
16 MKS Mlawa 12 3 1 8 23:34 10
17 Troszyn 11 1 4 6 13:26 7
18 LKS Lomza 12 0 3 9 12:28 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)