Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026

Warta Sieradz

2 - 1

Zabkovia Zabki

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Lis M.

53'

Wojtysiak O.

66'

Krecichwost B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Warta Sieradz and Zabkovia Zabki finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Warta Sieradz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Warta Sieradz

28%

Draws

22%

Zabkovia Zabki

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Warta Sieradz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Warta Sieradz come out ahead of Zabkovia Zabki on wins alone.
Win probability leans Warta Sieradz's way, sitting at 50%.
Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%

Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 20%

Zabkovia Zabki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Warta Sieradz	Zabkovia Zabki
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	17	8
Draws	8	5
Losses	5	17
Goals Scored	1.63	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 III Liga - Group I

Warta Sieradz vs Zabkovia Zabki

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Aug 23, 2025 III Liga - Group I

Zabkovia Zabki vs Warta Sieradz

Possession: 46% - 59% Cards: 4 - 4

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warta Sieradz Compare

Top Goalscorer Lis M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Krecichwost B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Zabkovia Zabki Compare

Top Goalscorer Wojtysiak O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Sieradz 49 / 100

Zabkovia Zabki 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Warta Sieradz Zabkovia Zabki

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Warta Sieradz scored in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Zabkovia Zabki let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Warta Sieradz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Warta Sieradz VS Zabkovia Zabki

1.63 Goals Scored 1.25

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63

63% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Legia II	34	27	3	4	82:29	84
2	LKS Lomza	34	22	5	7	77:31	71
3	Warta Sieradz	34	21	8	5	64:34	71
4	Suwalki	34	20	5	9	64:43	65
5	Troszyn	34	17	6	11	75:47	57
6	Plock II	34	16	8	10	56:51	56
7	Widzew Lodz II	34	17	3	14	70:64	54
8	Jagiellonia II	34	14	7	13	46:45	49
9	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	13	8	13	64:55	47
10	Zabkovia Zabki	34	13	5	16	72:64	44
11	Swit Mazowiecki	34	12	5	17	51:66	41
12	MKS Mlawa	34	11	7	16	55:59	40
13	Olimpia Elblag	34	10	8	16	45:61	38
14	GKS Wikielec	34	10	7	17	40:54	37
15	Bron Radom	34	9	9	16	40:57	36
16	GKS Belchatow	34	9	7	18	50:76	34
17	Wasilkow	34	7	4	23	40:79	25
18	Znicz Biala Piska	34	4	3	27	27:103	15