Sport Picks
Washington Spirit W vs Bay FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
NWSL Women Audi Field, Washington, DC 
Match Events
35'
35'
Metayer P.
45'
45'
Sub
Hatch A. In: Bethi M.
Out: Hatch A.
45'
45'
Metayer P.
AI Match Summary
Washington Spirit W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Washington Spirit W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Washington Spirit W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Washington Spirit W lately — more wins on the board than Bay FC W.
- Washington Spirit W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Washington Spirit W have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Washington Spirit W Clean Sheet 20%
Bay FC W Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Washington Spirit W | Bay FC W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Bay FC W
1:0
Apr 5, 2026 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Washington Spirit W
0:2
Aug 23, 2025 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Washington Spirit W
2:3
Mar 29, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Bay FC W
2:0
Nov 10, 2024 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Bay FC W
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Washington Spirit W Compare
Top Goalscorer Metayer P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Bay FC W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Washington Spirit W 85 / 100
Bay FC W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Washington Spirit W Bay FC W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Washington Spirit W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Washington Spirit W scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Bay FC W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Washington Spirit W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Washington Spirit W VS Bay FC W
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Washington Spirit W
(Home) 04 Oct
Houston Dash W
2 : 3 Washington Spirit W
26 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 1 Angel City W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Washington Spirit W
13 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 3 Boston Legacy W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 1 Angel City W
13 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 3 Boston Legacy W
30 Aug
Washington Spirit W
1 : 0 Bay FC W
23 Aug
Washington Spirit W
0 : 1 Orlando Pride W
08 Aug
Washington Spirit W
3 : 4 North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 3
Bay FC W
(Away) 03 Oct
Kansas City Current W
5 : 1 Bay FC W
27 Sept
Bay FC W
1 : 3 Orlando Pride W
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0 Racing Louisville W
17 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 2 Bay FC W
13 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Bay FC W
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Kansas City Current W
5 : 1 Bay FC W
17 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 2 Bay FC W
13 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Bay FC W
30 Aug
Washington Spirit W
1 : 0 Bay FC W
15 Aug
Utah Royals W
3 : 2 Bay FC W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
