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Washington Spirit W vs Gotham FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

NWSL Women Audi Field, Washington, DC
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Washington Spirit W host Gotham FC W in the NWSL Women. This one's hard to separate. Gotham FC W have shipped 0.9 goals a game lately, while Washington Spirit W have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.48. Head-to-head, Washington Spirit W have won 0 to Gotham FC W's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 16, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.38, favoring Gotham FC W. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Washington Spirit W
15%
Draws
45%
Gotham FC W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gotham FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gotham FC W lately — more wins on the board than Washington Spirit W.
  • Win probability leans Washington Spirit W's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Washington Spirit W Clean Sheet 17%
Gotham FC W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Washington Spirit W Gotham FC W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 16 18
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.48 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Washington Spirit W
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Gotham FC W
0:1
Oct 1, 2025 CONCACAF Champions Cup Women
Gotham FC W vs Washington Spirit W
0:0
Aug 9, 2025 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Washington Spirit W
0:0
Apr 26, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Gotham FC W
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Washington Spirit W 41 / 100
Gotham FC W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Washington Spirit W Gotham FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Washington Spirit W scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Washington Spirit W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Gotham FC W conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Washington Spirit W VS Gotham FC W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Washington Spirit W

(Home)
04 Oct
Houston Dash W
2 : 3
Washington Spirit W
26 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 1
Angel City W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3
Washington Spirit W
13 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 3
Boston Legacy W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2
Washington Spirit W
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Gotham FC W

(Away)
04 Oct
Gotham FC W
1 : 1
Angel City W
26 Sept
Gotham FC W
3 : 1
Chicago Stars W
19 Sept
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
11 Sept
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
06 Sept
Denver Summit W
3 : 0
Gotham FC W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)