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Washington Spirit W vs Kansas City Current W

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AI Match Summary

Washington Spirit W play Kansas City Current W in the NWSL Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Washington Spirit W averaged 1.75 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. Kansas City Current W averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Washington Spirit W won 2, Kansas City Current W won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Washington Spirit W and 1.44 for Kansas City Current W. This points to a Washington Spirit W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Washington Spirit W
17%
Draws
41%
Kansas City Current W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Washington Spirit W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Washington Spirit W picked up more points recently compared to Kansas City Current W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Washington Spirit W Clean Sheet 16%
Kansas City Current W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Washington Spirit W Kansas City Current W
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 15 17
Draws 7 2
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.89 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Kansas City Current W
4:0
Sep 13, 2025 NWSL Women
Kansas City Current W vs Washington Spirit W
0:0
Mar 22, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Kansas City Current W
0:2
Sep 21, 2024 NWSL Women
Kansas City Current W vs Washington Spirit W
3:0
Aug 25, 2024 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Kansas City Current W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Washington Spirit W Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rodman T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Kansas City Current W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Washington Spirit W 41 / 100
Kansas City Current W 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Washington Spirit W Kansas City Current W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Washington Spirit W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Washington Spirit W attacking → ← attacking Kansas City Current W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Washington Spirit W scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Kansas City Current W let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Washington Spirit W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kansas City Current W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 53
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1San Diego Wave W1491421:1328
2Portland Thorns FC W1483324:1427
3Washington Spirit W1273220:1024
4Utah Royals W1373320:1324
5Kansas City Current W1380521:1724
6North Carolina Courage W1263320:1421
7Gotham FC W1263312:721
8Orlando Pride W1352618:1917
9Angel City W1251618:1416
10Denver Summit W1243517:1615
11Seattle Reign W1242611:1614
12Houston Dash W1342715:2114
13Bay FC W1233611:1912
14Chicago Stars W134098:2612
15Boston Legacy W1324713:2110
16Racing Louisville W1221915:247