Sport Picks
Washington Spirit W vs North Carolina Courage W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
NWSL Women Audi Field, Washington, DC 
Match Events
2'
2'
Sanchez A.
Assist: Koyama S.
9'
9'
Ijeh E.
Assist: Schlegel A.
15'
15'
Ijeh E.
Assist: Sanchez A.
AI Match Summary
North Carolina Courage W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored North Carolina Courage W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Washington Spirit W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Washington Spirit W have won more games recently than North Carolina Courage W.
- 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Washington Spirit W Clean Sheet 10%
North Carolina Courage W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Washington Spirit W | North Carolina Courage W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs North Carolina Courage W
3:4
Jul 11, 2026 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Washington Spirit W
0:2
Oct 11, 2025 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Washington Spirit W
1:1
Jun 8, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs North Carolina Courage W
3:1
Nov 2, 2024 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Washington Spirit W
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Washington Spirit W Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodman T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cantore S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
North Carolina Courage W Compare
Top Goalscorer Ijeh E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Sanchez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Washington Spirit W 34 / 100
North Carolina Courage W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Washington Spirit W North Carolina Courage W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick North Carolina Courage W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Washington Spirit W found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
North Carolina Courage W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Washington Spirit W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Washington Spirit W VS North Carolina Courage W
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Washington Spirit W
(Home) 04 Oct
Houston Dash W
2 : 3 Washington Spirit W
26 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 1 Angel City W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Washington Spirit W
13 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 3 Boston Legacy W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
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26 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 1 Angel City W
13 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 3 Boston Legacy W
30 Aug
Washington Spirit W
1 : 0 Bay FC W
23 Aug
Washington Spirit W
0 : 1 Orlando Pride W
08 Aug
Washington Spirit W
3 : 4 North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 3
North Carolina Courage W
(Away) 03 Oct
Seattle Reign W
0 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
27 Sept
Utah Royals W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
19 Sept
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 2 Gotham FC W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6 North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Seattle Reign W
0 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
27 Sept
Utah Royals W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6 North Carolina Courage W
29 Aug
Kansas City Current W
3 : 2 North Carolina Courage W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
