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Washington Spirit W vs North Carolina Courage W Prediction & H2H Stats

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NWSL Women Audi Field, Washington, DC
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Sanchez A.
Assist: Koyama S.
9' Event
Ijeh E.
Assist: Schlegel A.
15' Event
Ijeh E.
Assist: Sanchez A.

AI Match Summary

North Carolina Courage W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored North Carolina Courage W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Washington Spirit W
15%
Draws
21%
North Carolina Courage W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Washington Spirit W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • North Carolina Courage W average 2.03 goals a game right now, well clear of Washington Spirit W's 1.35.
  • Washington Spirit W are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Washington Spirit W Clean Sheet 10%
North Carolina Courage W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Washington Spirit W North Carolina Courage W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 16
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.35 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs North Carolina Courage W
3:4
Jul 11, 2026 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Washington Spirit W
0:2
Oct 11, 2025 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Washington Spirit W
1:1
Jun 8, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs North Carolina Courage W
3:1
Nov 2, 2024 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Washington Spirit W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Washington Spirit W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodman T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cantore S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

North Carolina Courage W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ijeh E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Washington Spirit W 34 / 100
North Carolina Courage W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Washington Spirit W North Carolina Courage W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Washington Spirit W found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

North Carolina Courage W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Washington Spirit W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Washington Spirit W VS North Carolina Courage W
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Washington Spirit W

(Home)
26 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 1
Angel City W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3
Washington Spirit W
13 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 3
Boston Legacy W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2
Washington Spirit W
30 Aug
Washington Spirit W
1 : 0
Bay FC W
Page 1 of 7

North Carolina Courage W

(Away)
27 Sept
Utah Royals W
2 : 1
North Carolina Courage W
19 Sept
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1
North Carolina Courage W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6
North Carolina Courage W
29 Aug
Kansas City Current W
3 : 2
North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 26 16 6 4 34:20 54
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Utah Royals W 26 14 3 9 43:34 45
5 Portland Thorns FC W 26 12 7 7 43:35 43
6 Angel City W 26 12 6 8 44:28 42
7 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
8 Kansas City Current W 26 12 5 9 43:37 41
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 26 9 8 9 42:37 35
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 26 8 6 12 32:36 30
13 Bay FC W 26 7 5 14 27:37 26
14 Boston Legacy W 26 7 5 14 32:44 26
15 Racing Louisville W 26 7 2 17 35:51 23
16 Chicago Stars W 26 5 2 19 15:60 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)