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Washington Spirit W vs Portland Thorns FC W

USA USA

NWSL Women 2025 Audi Field
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Match Events

27' Event
Monday G.
Assist: Kouassi R.
44'
Kouassi R.
63'
Sub
Torpey K. In: Mckenzie M.
Out: Torpey K.

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women 2025 game between Washington Spirit W and Portland Thorns FC W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Washington Spirit W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Washington Spirit W
28%
Draws
22%
Portland Thorns FC W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Washington Spirit W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Portland Thorns FC W have managed 1.88 goals a game lately — Washington Spirit W are scoring more at 2.
  • Model gives Washington Spirit W a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NWSL Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Washington Spirit W Clean Sheet 14%
Portland Thorns FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Washington Spirit W Portland Thorns FC W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Portland Thorns FC W
0:1
Nov 15, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Portland Thorns FC W
2:0
Aug 3, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Portland Thorns FC W
2:1
Jun 15, 2025 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Washington Spirit W
2:0
Sep 7, 2024 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Portland Thorns FC W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Washington Spirit W Compare

Top Goalscorer Monday G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bethune C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Portland Thorns FC W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Washington Spirit W 48 / 100
Portland Thorns FC W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Washington Spirit W Portland Thorns FC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Washington Spirit W found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Portland Thorns FC W let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Washington Spirit W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Washington Spirit W VS Portland Thorns FC W
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Washington Spirit W2
Racing Louisville W1
Portland Thorns FC W1
San Diego Wave W0
Orlando Pride W2
Seattle Reign W0
Kansas City Current W1
Gotham FC W2
Semi-finals
Washington Spirit W2
Portland Thorns FC W0
Orlando Pride W0
Gotham FC W1
Final
Washington Spirit W0
Gotham FC W1