Sport Picks
Washington Spirit W vs Portland Thorns FC W
USA
NWSL Women Audi Field, Washington, DC 
Match Events
52'
52'
Moultrie O.
Assist: Tordin P.
61'
61'
Sub
Bogere C. In: Harvey S.
Out: Bogere C.
61'
61'
Sub
Turner R. In: Padelski M.
Out: Turner R.
AI Match Summary
Portland Thorns FC W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portland Thorns FC W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Washington Spirit W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Washington Spirit W have won more games recently than Portland Thorns FC W.
- Win probability leans Washington Spirit W's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Washington Spirit W Clean Sheet 68%
Portland Thorns FC W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Washington Spirit W | Portland Thorns FC W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Portland Thorns FC W
0:1
Nov 15, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Portland Thorns FC W
2:0
Aug 3, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Portland Thorns FC W
2:1
Jun 15, 2025 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Washington Spirit W
2:0
Sep 7, 2024 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Portland Thorns FC W
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Washington Spirit W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Portland Thorns FC W Compare
Top Goalscorer Moultrie O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Washington Spirit W 50 / 100
Portland Thorns FC W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Washington Spirit W Portland Thorns FC W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick WAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Washington Spirit W's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Portland Thorns FC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Washington Spirit W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Washington Spirit W VS Portland Thorns FC W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Washington Spirit W
(Home) 19 Jul
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
16 Jul
Gotham FC W
1 : 0 Washington Spirit W
11 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
0 : 2 Washington Spirit W
04 Jul
Washington Spirit W
2 : 1 Houston Dash W
30 May
Washington Spirit W
2 : 1 Seattle Reign W
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Washington Spirit W
2 : 1 Houston Dash W
30 May
Washington Spirit W
2 : 1 Seattle Reign W
21 May
Washington Spirit W
1 : 0 Pachuca W
29 Apr
Washington Spirit W
1 : 0 Racing Louisville W
25 Apr
Washington Spirit W
4 : 0 Kansas City Current W
Page 1 of 3
Portland Thorns FC W
(Away) 25 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 2 Gotham FC W
18 Jul
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
12 Jul
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Portland Thorns FC W
05 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
4 : 0 Racing Louisville W
28 Jun
Portland Thorns FC W
3 : 4 San Diego Wave W
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18 Jul
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
12 Jul
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Portland Thorns FC W
24 May
Kansas City Current W
3 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
08 May
Racing Louisville W
3 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
03 May
Chicago Stars W
0 : 2 Portland Thorns FC W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 21:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit W | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:12 | 30 |
| 3 | Utah Royals W | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26:17 | 30 |
| 4 | San Diego Wave W | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 23:17 | 29 |
| 5 | Portland Thorns FC W | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Kansas City Current W | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23:23 | 25 |
| 7 | Orlando Pride W | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22:21 | 23 |
| 8 | Angel City W | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22:14 | 22 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21:23 | 21 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | 19 |
| 11 | Houston Dash W | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | 19 |
| 12 | Boston Legacy W | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:23 | 19 |
| 13 | Bay FC W | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 14 | Seattle Reign W | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15:19 | 17 |
| 15 | Chicago Stars W | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 8:31 | 12 |
| 16 | Racing Louisville W | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 16:27 | 8 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)