Sport Picks
Washington Spirit W vs Racing Louisville W
USA
NWSL Women 2025 Audi Field, Washington, DC 
Match Events
33'
33'
Sub
Carle G. In: Wiesner K.
Out: Carle G.
66'
66'
Sub
Weber S. In: Fischer K.
Out: Weber S.
73'
73'
Monday G.
Assist: Kouassi R.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Washington Spirit W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Washington Spirit W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Washington Spirit W come out ahead of Racing Louisville W on wins alone.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Washington Spirit W taking it.
- Washington Spirit W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Washington Spirit W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Washington Spirit W Clean Sheet 20%
Racing Louisville W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Washington Spirit W | Racing Louisville W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 26 |
| Wins | 15 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 29, 2026 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Racing Louisville W
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Washington Spirit W
2:2
Nov 8, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Racing Louisville W
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Racing Louisville W
2:2
Apr 12, 2025 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Washington Spirit W
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Washington Spirit W Compare
Top Goalscorer Monday G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Racing Louisville W Compare
Top Goalscorer Fischer K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Washington Spirit W 85 / 100
Racing Louisville W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Washington Spirit W Racing Louisville W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick WAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Racing Louisville W has conceded goals in 88% of their last 26 outings.
Washington Spirit W scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Washington Spirit W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Washington Spirit W VS Racing Louisville W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Washington Spirit W
(Home) 19 Jul
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
16 Jul
Gotham FC W
1 : 0 Washington Spirit W
11 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
0 : 2 Washington Spirit W
04 Jul
Washington Spirit W
2 : 1 Houston Dash W
30 May
Washington Spirit W
2 : 1 Seattle Reign W
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Washington Spirit W
2 : 1 Houston Dash W
30 May
Washington Spirit W
2 : 1 Seattle Reign W
21 May
Washington Spirit W
1 : 0 Pachuca W
29 Apr
Washington Spirit W
1 : 0 Racing Louisville W
25 Apr
Washington Spirit W
4 : 0 Kansas City Current W
Page 1 of 3
Racing Louisville W
(Away) 19 Jul
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
11 Jul
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 Bay FC W
05 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
4 : 0 Racing Louisville W
30 May
Racing Louisville W
0 : 1 Denver Summit W
23 May
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2 North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
4 : 0 Racing Louisville W
18 May
Utah Royals W
2 : 1 Racing Louisville W
03 May
Gotham FC W
1 : 0 Racing Louisville W
29 Apr
Washington Spirit W
1 : 0 Racing Louisville W
04 Apr
Houston Dash W
4 : 3 Racing Louisville W
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Washington Spirit W2
Racing Louisville W1
Portland Thorns FC W1
San Diego Wave W0
Orlando Pride W2
Seattle Reign W0
Kansas City Current W1
Gotham FC W2
Semi-finals
Washington Spirit W2
Portland Thorns FC W0
Orlando Pride W0
Gotham FC W1
Final
Washington Spirit W0
Gotham FC W1