Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Washington Spirit W vs Racing Louisville W

USA USA

NWSL Women Audi Field
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Rodman T.
15' Event
Rodman T.
Assist: Cantore S.
34'
Fischer K.

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women game between Washington Spirit W and Racing Louisville W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Washington Spirit W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Washington Spirit W
6%
Draws
4%
Racing Louisville W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Washington Spirit W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Washington Spirit W come out ahead of Racing Louisville W on wins alone.
  • Washington Spirit W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Washington Spirit W Clean Sheet 20%
Racing Louisville W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Washington Spirit W Racing Louisville W
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 15 6
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Racing Louisville W
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Washington Spirit W
2:2
Nov 8, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Racing Louisville W
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Racing Louisville W
2:2
Apr 12, 2025 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Washington Spirit W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Washington Spirit W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodman T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Racing Louisville W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Washington Spirit W 85 / 100
Racing Louisville W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Washington Spirit W Racing Louisville W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing Louisville W let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

Washington Spirit W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Washington Spirit W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Washington Spirit W VS Racing Louisville W
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gotham FC W1593319:1030
2San Diego Wave W1692523:1729
3Washington Spirit W1483322:1127
4Portland Thorns FC W1683525:1827
5Utah Royals W1583422:1627
6Kansas City Current W1581623:2225
7Angel City W1471622:1422
8North Carolina Courage W1463520:1921
9Orlando Pride W1662821:2120
10Denver Summit W1454521:1919
11Bay FC W1453616:1918
12Seattle Reign W1452715:1917
13Boston Legacy W1544716:2116
14Houston Dash W1544718:2416
15Chicago Stars W1540118:3012
16Racing Louisville W14221016:278