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Wasilkow vs Jagiellonia II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Kosmalski J.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Wasilkow and Jagiellonia II finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jagiellonia II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Wasilkow
22%
Draws
60%
Jagiellonia II
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Jagiellonia II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jagiellonia II come out ahead of Wasilkow on wins alone.
  • Jagiellonia II are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Jagiellonia II here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Wasilkow Clean Sheet 10%
Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wasilkow Jagiellonia II
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Wasilkow
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Wasilkow vs Jagiellonia II
0:1
Mar 20, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Wasilkow
5:0
Apr 2, 2016 III Liga - Group V
Wasilkow vs Jagiellonia II
0:5
Aug 30, 2015 III Liga - Group V
Jagiellonia II vs Wasilkow
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wasilkow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Jagiellonia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Kosmalski J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wasilkow 18 / 100
Jagiellonia II 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wasilkow Jagiellonia II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wasilkow's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Jagiellonia II let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Wasilkow went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wasilkow VS Jagiellonia II
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315