Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026

Wasilkow

0 - 1

Olimpia Elblag

Our Tip

Match Events

65'

Kozera D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Wasilkow and Olimpia Elblag finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olimpia Elblag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Wasilkow

33%

Draws

40%

Olimpia Elblag

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Olimpia Elblag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Olimpia Elblag carry the better recent record into this one.
Olimpia Elblag are the model's pick here, at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
These two have met 4 times recently and Olimpia Elblag have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 81%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Wasilkow Clean Sheet 12%

Olimpia Elblag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Wasilkow	Olimpia Elblag
Matches Played	30	35
Wins	6	15
Draws	4	6
Losses	20	14
Goals Scored	1.63	1.13
Goals Conceded	2.38	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 III Liga - Group I

Wasilkow vs Olimpia Elblag

Possession: 52% - 40% Cards: 2 - 4

0:1

Aug 30, 2025 III Liga - Group I

Olimpia Elblag vs Wasilkow

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

May 7, 2016 III Liga - Group V

Wasilkow vs Olimpia Elblag

Possession: 42% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

0:4

Oct 10, 2015 III Liga - Group V

Olimpia Elblag vs Wasilkow

Possession: 54% - 44% Cards: 1 - 0

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wasilkow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Olimpia Elblag Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozera D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wasilkow 27 / 100

Olimpia Elblag 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Wasilkow Olimpia Elblag

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLI Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Wasilkow scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Olimpia Elblag conceded in 66% of 35 recent games.

Solid form: Wasilkow remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wasilkow VS Olimpia Elblag

1.63 Goals Scored 1.13

2.38 Goals Conceded 2

100% Over 1.5 100%

100% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Legia II	34	27	3	4	82:29	84
2	LKS Lomza	34	22	5	7	77:31	71
3	Warta Sieradz	34	21	8	5	64:34	71
4	Suwalki	34	20	5	9	64:43	65
5	Troszyn	34	17	6	11	75:47	57
6	Plock II	34	16	8	10	56:51	56
7	Widzew Lodz II	34	17	3	14	70:64	54
8	Jagiellonia II	34	14	7	13	46:45	49
9	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	13	8	13	64:55	47
10	Zabkovia Zabki	34	13	5	16	72:64	44
11	Swit Mazowiecki	34	12	5	17	51:66	41
12	MKS Mlawa	34	11	7	16	55:59	40
13	Olimpia Elblag	34	10	8	16	45:61	38
14	GKS Wikielec	34	10	7	17	40:54	37
15	Bron Radom	34	9	9	16	40:57	36
16	GKS Belchatow	34	9	7	18	50:76	34
17	Wasilkow	34	7	4	23	40:79	25
18	Znicz Biala Piska	34	4	3	27	27:103	15