Sport Picks

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Wasilkow vs Olimpia Elblag

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Kozera D.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Wasilkow and Olimpia Elblag finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olimpia Elblag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Wasilkow
20%
Draws
60%
Olimpia Elblag
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olimpia Elblag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Olimpia Elblag carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Olimpia Elblag have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Wasilkow Clean Sheet 20%
Olimpia Elblag Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wasilkow Olimpia Elblag
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 1.27 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Wasilkow vs Olimpia Elblag
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Elblag vs Wasilkow
1:2
May 7, 2016 III Liga - Group V
Wasilkow vs Olimpia Elblag
0:4
Oct 10, 2015 III Liga - Group V
Olimpia Elblag vs Wasilkow
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wasilkow Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Olimpia Elblag Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozera D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wasilkow 32 / 100
Olimpia Elblag 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wasilkow Olimpia Elblag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Elblag Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Wasilkow scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Olimpia Elblag conceded in 74% of 34 recent games.

Away concern: Olimpia Elblag has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wasilkow VS Olimpia Elblag
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Wasilkow

(Home)
30 May
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1
Wasilkow
23 May
Wasilkow
1 : 4
Bron Radom
16 May
Wasilkow
0 : 3
Suwalki
13 May
Wasilkow
3 : 3
Znicz Biala Piska
09 May
Wasilkow
0 : 3
Warta Sieradz
Page 1 of 6

Olimpia Elblag

(Away)
03 Oct
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Olimpia Elblag
26 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
19 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0
Pelikan
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Legia II 34 27 3 4 82:29 84
2 LKS Lomza 34 22 5 7 77:31 71
3 Warta Sieradz 34 21 8 5 64:34 71
4 Suwalki 34 20 5 9 64:43 65
5 Troszyn 34 17 6 11 75:47 57
6 Plock II 34 16 8 10 56:51 56
7 Widzew Lodz II 34 17 3 14 70:64 54
8 Jagiellonia II 34 14 7 13 46:45 49
9 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 34 13 8 13 64:55 47
10 Zabkovia Zabki 34 13 5 16 72:64 44
11 Swit Mazowiecki 34 12 5 17 51:66 41
12 MKS Mlawa 34 11 7 16 55:59 40
13 Olimpia Elblag 34 10 8 16 45:61 38
14 GKS Wikielec 34 10 7 17 40:54 37
15 Bron Radom 34 9 9 16 40:57 36
16 GKS Belchatow 34 9 7 18 50:76 34
17 Wasilkow 34 7 4 23 40:79 25
18 Znicz Biala Piska 34 4 3 27 27:103 15
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)