Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026

Wasilkow

0 - 3

Suwalki

Our Tip

Match Events

33'

Baranowicz B.

37'

Guzdek B.

41'

Ozga M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Suwalki in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Suwalki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Wasilkow

Draws

90%

Suwalki

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Suwalki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Suwalki have won more games recently than Wasilkow.
Win probability leans Suwalki's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 3 times recently and Suwalki have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Wasilkow Clean Sheet 10%

Suwalki Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Wasilkow	Suwalki
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	6	19
Draws	4	4
Losses	20	8
Goals Scored	1.75	1.88
Goals Conceded	2.25	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 III Liga - Group I

Wasilkow vs Suwalki

Possession: 46% - 59% Cards: 3 - 4

0:3

Oct 30, 2025 III Liga - Group I

Suwalki vs Wasilkow

Possession: 58% - 43% Cards: 1 - 3

4:1

Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly

Suwalki vs Wasilkow

Possession: 46% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wasilkow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Suwalki Compare

Top Goalscorer Baranowicz B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Guzdek B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wasilkow 10 / 100

Suwalki 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Wasilkow Suwalki

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIG Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wasilkow scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Suwalki has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Solid form: Wasilkow remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wasilkow VS Suwalki

1.75 Goals Scored 1.88

2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63

100% Over 1.5 75%

100% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Legia II	34	27	3	4	82:29	84
2	LKS Lomza	34	22	5	7	77:31	71
3	Warta Sieradz	34	21	8	5	64:34	71
4	Suwalki	34	20	5	9	64:43	65
5	Troszyn	34	17	6	11	75:47	57
6	Plock II	34	16	8	10	56:51	56
7	Widzew Lodz II	34	17	3	14	70:64	54
8	Jagiellonia II	34	14	7	13	46:45	49
9	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	13	8	13	64:55	47
10	Zabkovia Zabki	34	13	5	16	72:64	44
11	Swit Mazowiecki	34	12	5	17	51:66	41
12	MKS Mlawa	34	11	7	16	55:59	40
13	Olimpia Elblag	34	10	8	16	45:61	38
14	GKS Wikielec	34	10	7	17	40:54	37
15	Bron Radom	34	9	9	16	40:57	36
16	GKS Belchatow	34	9	7	18	50:76	34
17	Wasilkow	34	7	4	23	40:79	25
18	Znicz Biala Piska	34	4	3	27	27:103	15