Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wasilkow vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Mazurek A.
64' Event
Gebala P.
73' Event
Milewski B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Wasilkow
33%
Draws
27%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Wasilkow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Tomaszow Mazowiecki have won more games recently than Wasilkow.
  • Win probability leans Wasilkow's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Wasilkow Clean Sheet 10%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wasilkow Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Wasilkow vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
3:3
Aug 22, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Wasilkow
5:0
Jun 5, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Wasilkow
1:0
Mar 27, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Wasilkow vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0:4
May 1, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Wasilkow vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wasilkow Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazurek A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Milewski B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Tomaszow Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Gebala P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chwalowski D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wasilkow 38 / 100
Tomaszow Mazowiecki 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wasilkow Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomaszow Mazowiecki has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Wasilkow scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: Tomaszow Mazowiecki registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wasilkow VS Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315