Sport Picks
Wasilkow vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki Prediction & H2H Stats
Poland
III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 
Match Events
19'
19'
Mazurek A.
64'
64'
Gebala P.
73'
73'
Milewski B.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
20%
48%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Tomaszow Mazowiecki have won more games recently than Wasilkow.
- Win probability leans Wasilkow's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Wasilkow Clean Sheet 10%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wasilkow | Tomaszow Mazowiecki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 20 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.27 | 1.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.27 | 1.96 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Wasilkow vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
3:3
Aug 22, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Wasilkow
5:0
Jun 5, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Wasilkow
1:0
Mar 27, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Wasilkow vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0:4
May 1, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Wasilkow vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wasilkow Compare
Top Goalscorer Mazurek A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Milewski B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Compare
Top Goalscorer Gebala P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chwalowski D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.09
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wasilkow 34 / 100
Tomaszow Mazowiecki 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wasilkow Tomaszow Mazowiecki
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tomaszow Mazowiecki has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Wasilkow scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Difficult form: Tomaszow Mazowiecki registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Wasilkow VS Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0.67 Goals Scored 1.25
2.67 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Wasilkow
(Home) 30 May
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1 Wasilkow
23 May
Wasilkow
1 : 4 Bron Radom
16 May
Wasilkow
0 : 3 Suwalki
13 May
Wasilkow
3 : 3 Znicz Biala Piska
09 May
Wasilkow
0 : 3 Warta Sieradz
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23 May
Wasilkow
1 : 4 Bron Radom
16 May
Wasilkow
0 : 3 Suwalki
13 May
Wasilkow
3 : 3 Znicz Biala Piska
09 May
Wasilkow
0 : 3 Warta Sieradz
25 Apr
Wasilkow
2 : 1 Plock II
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Tomaszow Mazowiecki
(Away) 03 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
26 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Swit Mazowiecki
11 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
4 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
05 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Troszyn
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
11 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
4 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
29 Aug
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
19 Aug
MKS Mlawa
2 : 3 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
08 Aug
Plock II
2 : 1 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia II | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 82:29 | 84 |
| 2 | LKS Lomza | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 77:31 | 71 |
| 3 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 64:34 | 71 |
| 4 | Suwalki | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 64:43 | 65 |
| 5 | Troszyn | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 75:47 | 57 |
| 6 | Plock II | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 56:51 | 56 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz II | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 70:64 | 54 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 46:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 64:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Zabkovia Zabki | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 72:64 | 44 |
| 11 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 51:66 | 41 |
| 12 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 55:59 | 40 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 45:61 | 38 |
| 14 | GKS Wikielec | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Bron Radom | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:57 | 36 |
| 16 | GKS Belchatow | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 50:76 | 34 |
| 17 | Wasilkow | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 40:79 | 25 |
| 18 | Znicz Biala Piska | 34 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 27:103 | 15 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
