Sport Picks
Waterford vs St Mochta's Prediction & H2H Stats
Ireland
FAI Cup 2025 Regional Sports Centre, Waterford 
Match Events
10'
10'
Lonergan T.
35'
35'
Noonan C.
38'
38'
Casey D.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Waterford in this FAI Cup 2025 tie, finishing 5-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Waterford
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Waterford have won more games recently than St Mochta's.
- Waterford are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Waterford have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Waterford, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Waterford Clean Sheet 68%
St Mochta's Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Waterford | St Mochta's |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 18 |
| Wins | 13 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 0 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2025 FAI Cup
Waterford vs St Mochta's
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Waterford Compare
Top Goalscorer Lonergan T.
2 Goals Assists Leader Noonan C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31
St Mochta's Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Waterford 86 / 100
St Mochta's 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Waterford St Mochta's
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Waterford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Waterford scored in 81% of their last 32 games.
St Mochta's's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 18 matches.
Games between these two average 6.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Waterford stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Waterford VS St Mochta's
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Waterford
(Home) 18 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2 Waterford
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2 Derry City
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1 Dundalk
04 Sept
Waterford
3 : 0 Sligo Rovers
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2 Waterford
Page 1 of 7
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2 Derry City
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1 Dundalk
04 Sept
Waterford
3 : 0 Sligo Rovers
14 Aug
Waterford
2 : 1 Athlone
09 Aug
Waterford
3 : 1 Bohemians
Page 1 of 4
St Mochta's
(Away) 17 Jul
St Mochta's
1 : 3 Dundalk
15 May
Wayside Celtic
3 : 4 St Mochta's
18 Jul
Waterford
5 : 1 St Mochta's
17 May
St Mochta's
4 : 0 Douglas Hall
08 Oct
St. Patricks
2 : 1 St Mochta's
Page 1 of 4
15 May
Wayside Celtic
3 : 4 St Mochta's
18 Jul
Waterford
5 : 1 St Mochta's
08 Oct
St. Patricks
2 : 1 St Mochta's
27 Aug
Dundalk
5 : 1 St Mochta's
25 Jul
Crumlin Utd
1 : 2 St Mochta's
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
Drogheda -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd 4
Lucan Utd 2
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
North End United 1
Castlebar Celtic 4
TBD -
Longford -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
College Corinthians 1
Bangor Celtic 2
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Midleton 0
Killester Donnycarney 6
TBD -
Bohemians -
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Bray -
TBD -
Wayside Celtic 4
River Valley Rangers 0
Cork City -
TBD -
Leicester Celtic AFC 2
Fanad United 1
Waterford -
TBD -
St Mochta's 4
Douglas Hall 0
St. Patricks -
TBD -
Ringmahon Rangers 1
University College Cork 3
Fairview Rangers 4
Baldoyle Utd. 0
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Salthill 2
Liffey Wanderers 1
St. Michaels -
Usher Celtic -
Galway United -
TBD -
Tolka 3
Janesboro 1
1/16-finals
Treaty United 1
Derry City 5
Drogheda 5
Crumlin Utd 0
Shamrock Rovers 4
Wexford 0
Castlebar Celtic 3
Longford 6
Kerry 2
Athlone 1
Bangor Celtic 0
Cobh Ramblers 2
Killester Donnycarney 0
Bohemians 7
Dundalk 0
Sligo Rovers 2
Finn Harps 3
UC Dublin 0
Bray 3
Wayside Celtic 0
Cork City 3
Leicester Celtic AFC 0
Waterford 5
St Mochta's 1
St. Patricks 8
University College Cork 0
Fairview Rangers 0
Shelbourne 4
Salthill 1
St. Michaels 0
Galway United 2
Tolka 0
1/8-finals
Derry City 1
Drogheda 2
Shamrock Rovers 2
Longford 1
Kerry 2
Cobh Ramblers 0
Bohemians 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Finn Harps 3
Bray 1
Cork City 2
Waterford 1
St. Patricks 2
Shelbourne 0
Salthill 0
Galway United 4
Quarter-finals
Drogheda 1
Shamrock Rovers 2
Kerry 4
Sligo Rovers 3
Finn Harps 0
Cork City 3
St. Patricks 3
Galway United 1
Semi-finals
Shamrock Rovers 6
Kerry 1
Cork City 3
St. Patricks 0
Final
Shamrock Rovers 2
Cork City 0
