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Waterford vs St. Patricks

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Regional Sports Centre
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Mahon J.
21'
Sub
Palmer R. In: Baggley B.
Out: Palmer R.
32'
Voilas J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Waterford
33%
Draws
27%
St. Patricks
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Waterford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Patricks have won more games recently than Waterford.
  • Model gives Waterford a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Waterford Clean Sheet 13%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waterford St. Patricks
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 11 9
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 2 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Premier Division
Waterford vs St. Patricks
1:1
May 8, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Waterford
4:1
Mar 20, 2026 Premier Division
Waterford vs St. Patricks
0:2
Oct 24, 2025 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Waterford
1:1
Aug 3, 2025 Premier Division
Waterford vs St. Patricks
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Waterford Compare

Top Goalscorer Noonan C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

St. Patricks Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waterford 39 / 100
St. Patricks 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waterford St. Patricks

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waterford scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

St. Patricks has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Waterford went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Waterford VS St. Patricks
2 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers25155540:2250
2Bohemians25127640:2743
3St. Patricks24126639:2042
4Dundalk2498738:3635
5Shelbourne24810635:3534
6Derry City25611832:3129
7Galway United23761032:3927
8Drogheda24671129:4125
9Waterford24491133:4721
10Sligo Rovers24551420:4020