Sport Picks
Waterford vs St. Patricks
Ireland
Premier Division Regional Sports Centre, Waterford 
Match Events
17'
17'
Mahon J.
21'
21'
Sub
Palmer R. In: Baggley B.
Out: Palmer R.
32'
32'
Voilas J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
20%
42%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Patricks
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- St. Patricks have won more games recently than Waterford.
- Model gives Waterford a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Waterford Clean Sheet 20%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Waterford | St. Patricks |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Waterford
0:2
Jul 10, 2026 Premier Division
Waterford vs St. Patricks
1:1
May 8, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Waterford
4:1
Mar 20, 2026 Premier Division
Waterford vs St. Patricks
0:2
Oct 24, 2025 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Waterford
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Waterford Compare
Top Goalscorer Noonan C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
St. Patricks Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Waterford 36 / 100
St. Patricks 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Waterford St. Patricks
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Waterford scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
St. Patricks has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Waterford went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Waterford VS St. Patricks
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Waterford
(Home) 18 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2 Waterford
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2 Derry City
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1 Dundalk
04 Sept
Waterford
3 : 0 Sligo Rovers
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2 Waterford
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2 Derry City
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1 Dundalk
04 Sept
Waterford
3 : 0 Sligo Rovers
14 Aug
Waterford
2 : 1 Athlone
09 Aug
Waterford
3 : 1 Bohemians
Page 1 of 4
St. Patricks
(Away) 14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4 St. Patricks
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0 Shamrock Rovers
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2 Bohemians
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2 Waterford
21 Aug
Drogheda
0 : 2 St. Patricks
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4 St. Patricks
21 Aug
Drogheda
0 : 2 St. Patricks
09 Aug
Shelbourne
1 : 2 St. Patricks
14 Jul
Doncaster
4 : 2 St. Patricks
10 Jul
Waterford
1 : 1 St. Patricks
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 49:31 | 59 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 51:25 | 56 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 55:37 | 56 |
| 4 | Derry City | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45:42 | 41 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 49:53 | 41 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 41:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Galway United | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 41:47 | 37 |
| 8 | Waterford | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44:54 | 34 |
| 9 | Drogheda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38:51 | 34 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 24:53 | 23 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)
