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Waterford W vs Treaty United W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

National League Women
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Waterford W host Treaty United W in the National League Women. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Waterford W at 0.9 goals for, 2.45 against; Treaty United W at 1.17 for, 1.21 against. Past meetings favor Treaty United W slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.81) back Treaty United W to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Waterford W
20%
Draws
46%
Treaty United W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Treaty United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Treaty United W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Waterford W Clean Sheet 11%
Treaty United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waterford W Treaty United W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.45 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 National League Women
Treaty United W vs Waterford W
3:0
Oct 11, 2025 National League Women
Waterford W vs Treaty United W
3:2
Apr 26, 2025 All-Island Cup Women
Treaty United W vs Waterford W
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 National League Women
Treaty United W vs Waterford W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waterford W 30 / 100
Treaty United W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waterford W Treaty United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treaty United W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Treaty United W conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Waterford W's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Waterford W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Waterford W VS Treaty United W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Waterford W

(Home)
03 Oct
Waterford W
0 : 4
Shelbourne W
19 Sept
Cork City W
1 : 2
Waterford W
12 Sept
Waterford W
1 : 2
DLR Waves W
05 Sept
Athlone W
3 : 1
Waterford W
29 Aug
Sligo Rovers W
1 : 2
Waterford W
Page 1 of 6

Treaty United W

(Away)
03 Oct
Sligo Rovers W
1 : 1
Treaty United W
19 Sept
Treaty United W
1 : 0
Peamount W
12 Sept
Treaty United W
1 : 4
Athlone W
05 Sept
Galway United W
0 : 0
Treaty United W
29 Aug
Treaty United W
1 : 0
Bohemians W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Athlone W 20 16 3 1 47:14 51
2 Shelbourne W 20 12 5 3 40:19 41
3 Galway United W 20 11 6 3 27:16 39
4 Shamrock Rovers W 20 10 4 6 39:23 34
5 Sligo Rovers W 20 8 7 5 35:28 31
6 Wexford W 20 8 6 6 34:25 30
7 Treaty United W 20 8 6 6 25:18 30
8 Bohemians W 20 6 5 9 22:29 23
9 Peamount W 20 5 3 12 23:38 18
10 Waterford W 20 3 6 11 17:40 15
11 DLR Waves W 20 4 2 14 12:35 14
12 Cork City W 20 1 3 16 13:49 6
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)