Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Watergraafsmeer vs HBS Craeyenhout

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Esajas M.
22' Event
Esajas M.
45' Event
Owusu-Ansah R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Watergraafsmeer advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Watergraafsmeer
28%
Draws
50%
HBS Craeyenhout
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: HBS Craeyenhout

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • HBS Craeyenhout have managed 1 goals a game lately — Watergraafsmeer are scoring more at 1.63.
  • Win probability leans HBS Craeyenhout's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Watergraafsmeer, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Watergraafsmeer Clean Sheet 13%
HBS Craeyenhout Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Watergraafsmeer HBS Craeyenhout
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 2.38 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2023 Derde Divisie
Watergraafsmeer vs HBS Craeyenhout
4:0
Jun 1, 2023 Derde Divisie
HBS Craeyenhout vs Watergraafsmeer
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Watergraafsmeer Compare

Top Goalscorer Esajas M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Owusu-Ansah R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

HBS Craeyenhout Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Watergraafsmeer 22 / 100
HBS Craeyenhout 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Watergraafsmeer HBS Craeyenhout

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HBS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: HBS Craeyenhout conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Watergraafsmeer scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Watergraafsmeer stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Watergraafsmeer VS HBS Craeyenhout
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Watergraafsmeer

(Home)
30 May
Watergraafsmeer
2 : 3
NEO
27 May
NEO
3 : 0
Watergraafsmeer
07 Jun
Watergraafsmeer
2 : 2
Excelsior 31
04 Jun
Excelsior 31
1 : 0
Watergraafsmeer
01 Jun
Watergraafsmeer
1 : 0
Heino
Page 1 of 6

HBS Craeyenhout

(Away)
04 Jun
Watergraafsmeer
4 : 0
HBS Craeyenhout
01 Jun
HBS Craeyenhout
2 : 2
Watergraafsmeer
12 Jun
HBS Craeyenhout
2 : 3
SV Orion
09 Jun
SV Orion
1 : 1
HBS Craeyenhout
26 May
Dongen
0 : 6
HBS Craeyenhout
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Smitshoek5
VVOG2
ODIN '597
Swift2
Genemuiden3
Excelsior 311
AZSV3
Capelle6
HBS Craeyenhout2
Watergraafsmeer6
Be Quick 18871
Kampong4
SV Juliana 311
Baronie2
AWC2
RKAVV Leidschendam1
Final
Smitshoek3
ODIN '596
Genemuiden6
Capelle3
Watergraafsmeer1
Kampong3
Baronie1
AWC2