Sport Picks
Waterhouse vs Arnett Gardens Prediction & H2H Stats
Jamaica
Premier League 2025/2026 Waterhouse Mini Stadium, Kingston 
Match Events
56'
56'
Barrow N.
62'
62'
Nelson J.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Waterhouse and Arnett Gardens finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Waterhouse
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Waterhouse come out ahead of Arnett Gardens on wins alone.
- Arnett Gardens are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Arnett Gardens have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Waterhouse Clean Sheet 10%
Arnett Gardens Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Waterhouse | Arnett Gardens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2026 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Arnett Gardens
1:1
Jan 20, 2026 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Arnett Gardens
0:1
Sep 23, 2025 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs Waterhouse
2:1
Apr 27, 2025 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Arnett Gardens
0:2
Feb 14, 2025 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs Waterhouse
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Waterhouse Compare
Top Goalscorer Barrow N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Arnett Gardens Compare
Top Goalscorer Nelson J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Waterhouse 18 / 100
Arnett Gardens 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Waterhouse Arnett Gardens
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arnett Gardens Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Waterhouse found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Arnett Gardens conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Waterhouse stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Waterhouse VS Arnett Gardens
1.5 Goals Scored 3
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Waterhouse
(Home) 28 Sept
Waterhouse
2 : 0 Treasure Beach
21 Sept
Humble Lions
0 : 5 Waterhouse
13 May
Waterhouse
0 : 2 Cavalier
11 May
Cavalier
2 : 2 Waterhouse
06 May
Waterhouse
4 : 0 FC Dunbeholden
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
Waterhouse
2 : 0 Treasure Beach
13 May
Waterhouse
0 : 2 Cavalier
06 May
Waterhouse
4 : 0 FC Dunbeholden
03 May
Waterhouse
3 : 0 Chapelton
24 Apr
Waterhouse
1 : 2 Treasure Beach
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Arnett Gardens
(Away) 27 Sept
Cavalier
3 : 2 Arnett Gardens
22 Sept
Arnett Gardens
3 : 0 FC Dunbeholden
15 Sept
Racing United
3 : 2 Arnett Gardens
06 May
Chapelton
2 : 7 Arnett Gardens
03 May
Arnett Gardens
6 : 0 Spanish Town Police
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Cavalier
3 : 2 Arnett Gardens
15 Sept
Racing United
3 : 2 Arnett Gardens
06 May
Chapelton
2 : 7 Arnett Gardens
26 Apr
Portmore
1 : 2 Arnett Gardens
19 Apr
Molynes United
3 : 0 Arnett Gardens
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mount Pleasant | 39 | 20 | 14 | 5 | 69:25 | 74 |
| 2 | Montego Bay | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 79:45 | 71 |
| 3 | Portmore | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 54:35 | 66 |
| 4 | Waterhouse | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 51:32 | 65 |
| 5 | Cavalier | 39 | 19 | 4 | 16 | 57:41 | 61 |
| 6 | Racing United | 39 | 14 | 18 | 7 | 53:34 | 60 |
| 7 | Arnett Gardens | 39 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 68:46 | 58 |
| 8 | Chapelton | 39 | 14 | 7 | 18 | 42:57 | 49 |
| 9 | FC Dunbeholden | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 40:53 | 48 |
| 10 | Tivoli | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 37:58 | 44 |
| 11 | Treasure Beach | 39 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 43:59 | 43 |
| 12 | Molynes United | 39 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 45:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Harbour View | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 53:73 | 39 |
| 14 | Spanish Town Police | 39 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 25:111 | 26 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
