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Waterhouse vs Treasure Beach Prediction & H2H Stats

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2025/2026 Waterhouse Mini Stadium, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Brown R.
58' Event
Murray C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Waterhouse in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Waterhouse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Waterhouse
20%
Draws
23%
Treasure Beach
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Waterhouse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Waterhouse lately — more wins on the board than Treasure Beach.
  • Win probability leans Waterhouse's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Waterhouse Clean Sheet 68%
Treasure Beach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waterhouse Treasure Beach
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 7
Draws 5 11
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.64 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2026 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Treasure Beach
2:0
Apr 24, 2026 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Treasure Beach
1:2
Feb 2, 2026 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Treasure Beach
1:0
Oct 12, 2025 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Waterhouse
0:0
Mar 20, 2024 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Waterhouse
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waterhouse 95 / 100
Treasure Beach 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waterhouse Treasure Beach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waterhouse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Waterhouse scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Treasure Beach has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Waterhouse went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Waterhouse VS Treasure Beach
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Waterhouse

(Home)
28 Sept
Waterhouse
2 : 0
Treasure Beach
21 Sept
Humble Lions
0 : 5
Waterhouse
13 May
Waterhouse
0 : 2
Cavalier
11 May
Cavalier
2 : 2
Waterhouse
06 May
Waterhouse
4 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
Page 1 of 6

Treasure Beach

(Away)
28 Sept
Waterhouse
2 : 0
Treasure Beach
20 Sept
Treasure Beach
1 : 1
Tivoli
14 Sept
Molynes United
3 : 2
Treasure Beach
06 May
Treasure Beach
0 : 2
Molynes United
03 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2
Treasure Beach
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)