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Waterside Karori W vs Auckland United W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Gray A.
Own Goal
20' Event
Elliott C.
23' Event
Harashima Y.

AI Match Summary

The National League Women 2023 game between Waterside Karori W and Auckland United W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Auckland United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Waterside Karori W
6%
Draws
90%
Auckland United W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Auckland United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Auckland United W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Auckland United W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Auckland United W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Waterside Karori W Clean Sheet 10%
Auckland United W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waterside Karori W Auckland United W
Matches Played 22 38
Wins 9 32
Draws 4 2
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 0.5 3.88
Goals Conceded 3.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2024 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Waterside Karori W
3:1
Sep 28, 2024 National League Women
Waterside Karori W vs Auckland United W
1:1
Oct 7, 2023 National League Women
Waterside Karori W vs Auckland United W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Waterside Karori W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramsay M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Auckland United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Elliott C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Harashima Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.53
Avg xA / game 2.16

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waterside Karori W 10 / 100
Auckland United W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waterside Karori W Auckland United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Waterside Karori W scored in 82% of their last 22 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Auckland United W has conceded goals in 53% of their last 38 outings.

Recent resilience: Waterside Karori W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Waterside Karori W VS Auckland United W
0.5 Goals Scored 3.88
3.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Waterside Karori W

(Home)
05 Jul
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4 : 0
Waterside Karori W
05 Jul
Waterside Karori W
1 : 4
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
01 Dec
Auckland United W
3 : 1
Waterside Karori W
23 Nov
Southern United W
2 : 0
Waterside Karori W
16 Nov
Waterside Karori W
3 : 1
West Coast Rangers W
Page 1 of 5

Auckland United W

(Away)
25 Jul
Eastern Suburbs W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
29 Nov
Auckland United W
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs W
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0
Southern United W
09 Nov
Western Springs W
0 : 2
Auckland United W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland United W971125:922
2Southern United W971122:622
3Eastern Suburbs W970222:1221
4Western Springs W961228:1119
5Wellington United W941418:1613
6Waterside Karori W941418:1613
7Canterbury United W921617:227
8Wellington Phoenix 2 W921612:267
9Central Football W91176:304
10Ellerslie W91083:233
Promotion - National League Women 2023 (Play Offs)