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Waterside Karori W vs Auckland United W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Waterside Karori W host Auckland United W in the National League Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Auckland United W have shipped 0.52 goals a game lately, while Waterside Karori W have conceded 1.67 and scored 1.75. Past meetings favor Auckland United W slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 1, 2024, ending 3:1. xG projections (0.39 - 2.04) back Auckland United W to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Waterside Karori W
15%
Draws
64%
Auckland United W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auckland United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Auckland United W lately — more wins on the board than Waterside Karori W.
  • Win probability leans Auckland United W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Auckland United W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Waterside Karori W Clean Sheet 10%
Auckland United W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waterside Karori W Auckland United W
Matches Played 24 33
Wins 10 28
Draws 4 2
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.75 2.64
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.39 2.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2024 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Waterside Karori W
3:1
Sep 28, 2024 National League Women
Waterside Karori W vs Auckland United W
1:1
Oct 7, 2023 National League Women
Waterside Karori W vs Auckland United W
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waterside Karori W 10 / 100
Auckland United W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waterside Karori W Auckland United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auckland United W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Attacking prowess: Waterside Karori W scored in 79% of their last 24 outings.

Defensive concern: Auckland United W conceded in 48% of 33 recent games.

Recent resilience: Waterside Karori W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Waterside Karori W VS Auckland United W
0.4 Goals Scored 2.88
1.2 Goals Conceded 0.38
40% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Waterside Karori W

(Home)
03 Oct
West Coast Rangers W
1 : 2
Waterside Karori W
26 Sept
Waterside Karori W
0 : 1
Fencibles W
05 Jul
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4 : 0
Waterside Karori W
05 Jul
Waterside Karori W
1 : 4
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
01 Dec
Auckland United W
3 : 1
Waterside Karori W
Page 1 of 5

Auckland United W

(Away)
04 Oct
Wellington United W
0 : 1
Auckland United W
26 Sept
Auckland United W
5 : 0
Southern United W
25 Jul
Eastern Suburbs W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
29 Nov
Auckland United W
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs W
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland United W 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Eastern Suburbs W 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
3 Waterside Karori W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Fencibles W 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
5 Wellington United W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
6 Wellington Phoenix 2 W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
7 West Coast Rangers W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
8 Canterbury United W 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
9 Southern United W 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)