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Waterside Karori W vs Fencibles W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
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Match Events

18'
Makwana S.
42' Event
Miller H.

AI Match Summary

The National League Women game between Waterside Karori W and Fencibles W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fencibles W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Waterside Karori W
15%
Draws
53%
Fencibles W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fencibles W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Waterside Karori W come out ahead of Fencibles W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Fencibles W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Waterside Karori W Clean Sheet 20%
Fencibles W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waterside Karori W Fencibles W
Matches Played 25 3
Wins 11 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 10 1
Goals Scored 1.84 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 National League Women
Waterside Karori W vs Fencibles W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Waterside Karori W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Fencibles W Compare

Top Goalscorer Miller H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waterside Karori W 10 / 100
Fencibles W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waterside Karori W Fencibles W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fencibles W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waterside Karori W's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Defensive concern: Fencibles W conceded in 33% of 3 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Waterside Karori W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Waterside Karori W VS Fencibles W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Waterside Karori W

(Home)
11 Oct
Southern United W
0 : 4
Waterside Karori W
03 Oct
West Coast Rangers W
1 : 2
Waterside Karori W
26 Sept
Waterside Karori W
0 : 1
Fencibles W
05 Jul
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4 : 0
Waterside Karori W
05 Jul
Waterside Karori W
1 : 4
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
Page 1 of 5

Fencibles W

(Away)
11 Oct
Fencibles W
1 : 2
Wellington United W
04 Oct
Southern United W
0 : 3
Fencibles W
26 Sept
Waterside Karori W
0 : 1
Fencibles W

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland United W 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Eastern Suburbs W 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
3 Waterside Karori W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Fencibles W 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
5 Wellington United W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
6 Wellington Phoenix 2 W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
7 West Coast Rangers W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
8 Canterbury United W 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
9 Southern United W 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)