Sport Picks
Watford U18 vs Crewe U18 Prediction & H2H Stats
England
FA Youth Cup 2024/2025 
Match Events
22'
22'
Okosun N.
69'
69'
Dancey S.
72'
72'
Nabizada A.
AI Match Summary
Watford U18 in this FA Youth Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Watford U18
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Watford U18 lately — more wins on the board than Crewe U18.
- Watford U18 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Watford U18 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Watford U18, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Watford U18 Clean Sheet 11%
Crewe U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Watford U18 | Crewe U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 2.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.42 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 16, 2025 FA Youth Cup
Watford U18 vs Crewe U18
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Watford U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Nabizada A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Okosun N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.86
Avg xA / game 1.21
Crewe U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Dancey S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 0.98
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Watford U18 83 / 100
Crewe U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Watford U18 Crewe U18
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Watford U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Crewe U18 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Watford U18 found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Solid form: Watford U18 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Watford U18 VS Crewe U18
2 Goals Scored 1.67
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.83
100% Over 1.5 83%
88% Over 2.5 83%
50% Over 3.5 83%
Recent Form & Match History
Watford U18
(Home) 08 Jan
Watford U18
1 : 3 Charlton U18
10 Apr
Watford U18
0 : 1 Manchester City U18
25 Feb
Watford U18
2 : 1 Southampton U18
13 Feb
Watford U18
4 : 2 Tottenham U18
16 Jan
Watford U18
4 : 1 Crewe U18
Page 1 of 6
08 Jan
Watford U18
1 : 3 Charlton U18
10 Apr
Watford U18
0 : 1 Manchester City U18
25 Feb
Watford U18
2 : 1 Southampton U18
13 Feb
Watford U18
4 : 2 Tottenham U18
16 Jan
Watford U18
4 : 1 Crewe U18
Page 1 of 4
Crewe U18
(Away) 16 Jan
Watford U18
4 : 1 Crewe U18
14 Jan
Leicester U18
1 : 0 Crewe U18
15 Jan
Leicester U18
4 : 0 Crewe U18
02 Mar
Manchester City U18
6 : 1 Crewe U18
27 Jan
Arsenal U18
2 : 3 Crewe U18
Page 1 of 6
16 Jan
Watford U18
4 : 1 Crewe U18
14 Jan
Leicester U18
1 : 0 Crewe U18
15 Jan
Leicester U18
4 : 0 Crewe U18
02 Mar
Manchester City U18
6 : 1 Crewe U18
27 Jan
Arsenal U18
2 : 3 Crewe U18
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Newcastle Utd U18 0
Aston Villa U18 4
Cardiff U18 1
Bristol City U18 2
Everton U18 3
Wolves U18 1
Plymouth U18 3
Lincoln City U18 2
Exeter U18 1
Fulham U18 4
Arsenal U18 4
QPR U18 3
Manchester United U18 5
Preston U18 2
Chelsea U18 7
Merstham U18 1
Watford U18 4
Crewe U18 1
Grimsby U18 3
Tottenham U18 5
Fleetwood Town U18 0
Southampton U18 3
Sheffield Utd U18 1
Derby U18 3
Bournemouth U18 1
Norwich U18 3
Stoke City U18 0
West Brom U18 2
AFC Fylde U18 2
Leeds U18 3
Manchester City U18 5
Millwall U18 1
1/8-finals
Aston Villa U18 3
Bristol City U18 2
Everton U18 0
Plymouth U18 1
Fulham U18 1
Arsenal U18 2
Manchester United U18 5
Chelsea U18 1
Watford U18 4
Tottenham U18 2
Southampton U18 4
Derby U18 1
Norwich U18 2
West Brom U18 4
Leeds U18 1
Manchester City U18 6
Quarter-finals
Aston Villa U18 3
Plymouth U18 0
Arsenal U18 2
Manchester United U18 3
Watford U18 2
Southampton U18 1
West Brom U18 0
Manchester City U18 6
Semi-finals
Aston Villa U18 2
Manchester United U18 1
Watford U18 0
Manchester City U18 1
Final
Aston Villa U18 3
Manchester City U18 1
